Recent official forecasts from IMGW-PIB and multiple European models indicate a maximum of 26–27 °C in Warsaw on 30 August 2026 under weakening high pressure centered over northern Europe and light southerly flow. This setup advects modestly warmer air while partly cloudy skies limit strong daytime heating or radiative cooling, keeping the daily peak tightly clustered near the seasonal normal. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread around these values, with low precipitation probability supporting stable boundary-layer conditions. Traders have accordingly priced 27 °C as the modal outcome (50.5 % implied probability) followed by 26 °C (33.5 %), reflecting the narrow forecast envelope two days before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于华沙8月30日最高气温？
华沙8月30日最高气温？
27°C 41%
26°C 36%
28°C 11%
25°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
5%
26°C
36%
27°C
41%
28°C
11%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 41%
26°C 36%
28°C 11%
25°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
21°C or below
$253 交易量
<1%
22°C
$111 交易量
<1%
23°C
$48 交易量
<1%
24°C
$13 交易量
<1%
25°C
$116 交易量
5%
26°C
$409 交易量
36%
27°C
$375 交易量
41%
28°C
$438 交易量
11%
29°C
$151 交易量
3%
30°C
$15 交易量
<1%
31°C or higher
$263 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from IMGW-PIB and multiple European models indicate a maximum of 26–27 °C in Warsaw on 30 August 2026 under weakening high pressure centered over northern Europe and light southerly flow. This setup advects modestly warmer air while partly cloudy skies limit strong daytime heating or radiative cooling, keeping the daily peak tightly clustered near the seasonal normal. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread around these values, with low precipitation probability supporting stable boundary-layer conditions. Traders have accordingly priced 27 °C as the modal outcome (50.5 % implied probability) followed by 26 °C (33.5 %), reflecting the narrow forecast envelope two days before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$2,193结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from IMGW-PIB and multiple European models indicate a maximum of 26–27 °C in Warsaw on 30 August 2026 under weakening high pressure centered over northern Europe and light southerly flow. This setup advects modestly warmer air while partly cloudy skies limit strong daytime heating or radiative cooling, keeping the daily peak tightly clustered near the seasonal normal. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread around these values, with low precipitation probability supporting stable boundary-layer conditions. Traders have accordingly priced 27 °C as the modal outcome (50.5 % implied probability) followed by 26 °C (33.5 %), reflecting the narrow forecast envelope two days before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,193结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent official forecasts from IMGW-PIB and multiple European models indicate a maximum of 26–27 °C in Warsaw on 30 August 2026 under weakening high pressure centered over northern Europe and light southerly flow. This setup advects modestly warmer air while partly cloudy skies limit strong daytime heating or radiative cooling, keeping the daily peak tightly clustered near the seasonal normal. Ensemble guidance shows minimal spread around these values, with low precipitation probability supporting stable boundary-layer conditions. Traders have accordingly priced 27 °C as the modal outcome (50.5 % implied probability) followed by 26 °C (33.5 %), reflecting the narrow forecast envelope two days before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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