Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus, including GFS and ECMWF runs, points to a minimum temperature in Warsaw of 14–16°C on August 29 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and possible light morning showers. These conditions limit radiative cooling while maintaining moderate boundary-layer mixing, favoring the tightly contested 15°C (43.5%) and 13°C (39.5%) outcomes over higher or lower thresholds. Ensemble spread arises mainly from uncertainties in cloud cover timing and precipitation intensity, which can alter surface heat loss by several degrees; calmer winds or clearer skies overnight would push readings toward 13°C, whereas increased cloudiness or earlier mixing supports 16°C. Historical August minima near 15°C provide climatological context, but traders are weighting the latest short-range guidance most heavily ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于华沙8月29日最低气温？
华沙8月29日最低气温？
15°C 43%
13°C 39%
16°C 29%
17°C 29%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
11°C or below
2%
12°C
8%
13°C
39%
14°C
11%
15°C
43%
16°C
29%
17°C
29%
18°C
11%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
28%
15°C 43%
13°C 39%
16°C 29%
17°C 29%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
11°C or below
$145 交易量
2%
12°C
$5 交易量
8%
13°C
$6 交易量
39%
14°C
$0 交易量
11%
15°C
$0 交易量
43%
16°C
$0 交易量
29%
17°C
$0 交易量
29%
18°C
$0 交易量
11%
19°C
$10 交易量
2%
20°C
$5 交易量
8%
21°C or higher
$5 交易量
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus, including GFS and ECMWF runs, points to a minimum temperature in Warsaw of 14–16°C on August 29 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and possible light morning showers. These conditions limit radiative cooling while maintaining moderate boundary-layer mixing, favoring the tightly contested 15°C (43.5%) and 13°C (39.5%) outcomes over higher or lower thresholds. Ensemble spread arises mainly from uncertainties in cloud cover timing and precipitation intensity, which can alter surface heat loss by several degrees; calmer winds or clearer skies overnight would push readings toward 13°C, whereas increased cloudiness or earlier mixing supports 16°C. Historical August minima near 15°C provide climatological context, but traders are weighting the latest short-range guidance most heavily ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$176结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction model consensus, including GFS and ECMWF runs, points to a minimum temperature in Warsaw of 14–16°C on August 29 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and possible light morning showers. These conditions limit radiative cooling while maintaining moderate boundary-layer mixing, favoring the tightly contested 15°C (43.5%) and 13°C (39.5%) outcomes over higher or lower thresholds. Ensemble spread arises mainly from uncertainties in cloud cover timing and precipitation intensity, which can alter surface heat loss by several degrees; calmer winds or clearer skies overnight would push readings toward 13°C, whereas increased cloudiness or earlier mixing supports 16°C. Historical August minima near 15°C provide climatological context, but traders are weighting the latest short-range guidance most heavily ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$176结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction model consensus, including GFS and ECMWF runs, points to a minimum temperature in Warsaw of 14–16°C on August 29 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and possible light morning showers. These conditions limit radiative cooling while maintaining moderate boundary-layer mixing, favoring the tightly contested 15°C (43.5%) and 13°C (39.5%) outcomes over higher or lower thresholds. Ensemble spread arises mainly from uncertainties in cloud cover timing and precipitation intensity, which can alter surface heat loss by several degrees; calmer winds or clearer skies overnight would push readings toward 13°C, whereas increased cloudiness or earlier mixing supports 16°C. Historical August minima near 15°C provide climatological context, but traders are weighting the latest short-range guidance most heavily ahead of tomorrow’s observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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