Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources indicate partly cloudy conditions with intermittent sun and light northerly winds for Istanbul on August 30, supporting a daytime high near 28–29°C after showers and cooler northerly flow on the preceding days. These developments follow a brief period of below-normal temperatures, with consensus across ensembles pointing to modest warming as high pressure builds. Market-implied probabilities favor 26°C or 27°C, reflecting residual uncertainty in local station measurements, cloud cover timing, and wind effects on the urban heat island. Updated guidance from official monitoring is expected within 24 hours and could refine the range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度?
26°C 47%
27°C 37%
25°C 10%
28°C 7%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
10%
26°C
47%
27°C
37%
28°C
7%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 47%
27°C 37%
25°C 10%
28°C 7%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
10%
26°C
47%
27°C
37%
28°C
7%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international sources indicate partly cloudy conditions with intermittent sun and light northerly winds for Istanbul on August 30, supporting a daytime high near 28–29°C after showers and cooler northerly flow on the preceding days. These developments follow a brief period of below-normal temperatures, with consensus across ensembles pointing to modest warming as high pressure builds. Market-implied probabilities favor 26°C or 27°C, reflecting residual uncertainty in local station measurements, cloud cover timing, and wind effects on the urban heat island. Updated guidance from official monitoring is expected within 24 hours and could refine the range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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