Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's overnight low on August 29 will likely fall between 18–22°C, with consensus near 20°C under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Northerly winds and elevated humidity will limit radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and light precipitation timing introduce uncertainty in the precise minimum. Ensemble spreads reflect differences in boundary-layer moisture and frontal timing across ECMWF and GFS runs, producing the tightly clustered market probabilities around these thresholds rather than a dominant outcome. Updated model guidance later today could narrow the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于伊斯坦布尔8月29日的最低温度？
伊斯坦布尔8月29日的最低温度？
16°C 50%
17°C 50%
23°C 50%
25°C or higher 43%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
15°C or below
42%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18°C
27%
19°C
26%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
50%
24°C
8%
25°C or higher
43%
16°C 50%
17°C 50%
23°C 50%
25°C or higher 43%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
15°C or below
$135 交易量
42%
16°C
$5 交易量
50%
17°C
$5 交易量
50%
18°C
$0 交易量
27%
19°C
$0 交易量
26%
20°C
$0 交易量
27%
21°C
$0 交易量
27%
22°C
$0 交易量
27%
23°C
$10 交易量
50%
24°C
$5 交易量
8%
25°C or higher
$5 交易量
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's overnight low on August 29 will likely fall between 18–22°C, with consensus near 20°C under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Northerly winds and elevated humidity will limit radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and light precipitation timing introduce uncertainty in the precise minimum. Ensemble spreads reflect differences in boundary-layer moisture and frontal timing across ECMWF and GFS runs, producing the tightly clustered market probabilities around these thresholds rather than a dominant outcome. Updated model guidance later today could narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$165结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's overnight low on August 29 will likely fall between 18–22°C, with consensus near 20°C under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Northerly winds and elevated humidity will limit radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and light precipitation timing introduce uncertainty in the precise minimum. Ensemble spreads reflect differences in boundary-layer moisture and frontal timing across ECMWF and GFS runs, producing the tightly clustered market probabilities around these thresholds rather than a dominant outcome. Updated model guidance later today could narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$165结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Istanbul's overnight low on August 29 will likely fall between 18–22°C, with consensus near 20°C under partly cloudy skies and scattered showers. Northerly winds and elevated humidity will limit radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and light precipitation timing introduce uncertainty in the precise minimum. Ensemble spreads reflect differences in boundary-layer moisture and frontal timing across ECMWF and GFS runs, producing the tightly clustered market probabilities around these thresholds rather than a dominant outcome. Updated model guidance later today could narrow the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题