Current ensemble forecasts for Chengdu point to partly cloudy skies and a daily maximum near 31–32°C on August 30, with limited precipitation risk, reflecting the primary driver of moderating subsidence and northerly flow behind recent monsoon-related rains. Historical late-August averages hover around 29–31°C, and 2026 conditions align with seasonal weakening of the Western Pacific Subtropical High, allowing greater cloud cover that reduces daytime insolation while urban heat-island effects sustain readings in the low 30s. Model spread centers on exact timing of any residual moisture or wind shifts, producing the tight market clustering between 31°C and 32°C; higher outcomes would require clearer skies and stronger ridging, while cooler results hinge on increased convective cooling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日成都气温最高？
8月30日成都气温最高？
32°C 21%
31°C 20%
33°C 19%
30°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
28°C or below
3%
29°C
7%
30°C
13%
31°C
20%
32°C
21%
33°C
19%
34°C
11%
35°C
7%
36°C
4%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 21%
31°C 20%
33°C 19%
30°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
28°C or below
$60 交易量
3%
29°C
$41 交易量
7%
30°C
$5 交易量
13%
31°C
$43 交易量
20%
32°C
$37 交易量
21%
33°C
$0 交易量
19%
34°C
$22 交易量
11%
35°C
$2 交易量
7%
36°C
$41 交易量
4%
37°C
$779 交易量
<1%
38°C or higher
$495 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Chengdu point to partly cloudy skies and a daily maximum near 31–32°C on August 30, with limited precipitation risk, reflecting the primary driver of moderating subsidence and northerly flow behind recent monsoon-related rains. Historical late-August averages hover around 29–31°C, and 2026 conditions align with seasonal weakening of the Western Pacific Subtropical High, allowing greater cloud cover that reduces daytime insolation while urban heat-island effects sustain readings in the low 30s. Model spread centers on exact timing of any residual moisture or wind shifts, producing the tight market clustering between 31°C and 32°C; higher outcomes would require clearer skies and stronger ridging, while cooler results hinge on increased convective cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$1,524结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Chengdu point to partly cloudy skies and a daily maximum near 31–32°C on August 30, with limited precipitation risk, reflecting the primary driver of moderating subsidence and northerly flow behind recent monsoon-related rains. Historical late-August averages hover around 29–31°C, and 2026 conditions align with seasonal weakening of the Western Pacific Subtropical High, allowing greater cloud cover that reduces daytime insolation while urban heat-island effects sustain readings in the low 30s. Model spread centers on exact timing of any residual moisture or wind shifts, producing the tight market clustering between 31°C and 32°C; higher outcomes would require clearer skies and stronger ridging, while cooler results hinge on increased convective cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,524结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts for Chengdu point to partly cloudy skies and a daily maximum near 31–32°C on August 30, with limited precipitation risk, reflecting the primary driver of moderating subsidence and northerly flow behind recent monsoon-related rains. Historical late-August averages hover around 29–31°C, and 2026 conditions align with seasonal weakening of the Western Pacific Subtropical High, allowing greater cloud cover that reduces daytime insolation while urban heat-island effects sustain readings in the low 30s. Model spread centers on exact timing of any residual moisture or wind shifts, producing the tight market clustering between 31°C and 32°C; higher outcomes would require clearer skies and stronger ridging, while cooler results hinge on increased convective cooling.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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