Official observations from Mexico City stations, including Benito Juárez International Airport, recorded a minimum near 12–13°C on August 30, consistent with typical late-August radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with climatological baselines of 12–13°C nighttime lows during the rainy season, when high humidity and afternoon convection give way to clear nocturnal conditions favoring heat loss. The 97% market-implied probability for 12°C reflects strong consensus from these verified measurements. A realistic challenge would require sustained low-level cloud cover or warm-air advection from stronger southerly flow, though current model guidance and station data show no such deviation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于墨西哥城8月30日的最低温度？
墨西哥城8月30日的最低温度？
12°C 100%
6°C或以下 <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$1,262 交易量
$1,262 交易量
2026-08-30
6°C或以下
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
是
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C或更高
否
12°C 100%
6°C或以下 <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$1,262 交易量
$1,262 交易量
2026-08-30
6°C或以下
$38 交易量
否
7°C
$129 交易量
否
8°C
$57 交易量
否
9°C
$65 交易量
否
10°C
$36 交易量
否
11°C
$32 交易量
否
12°C
$329 交易量
是
13°C
$124 交易量
否
14°C
$141 交易量
否
15°C
$164 交易量
否
16°C或更高
$148 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Mexico City stations, including Benito Juárez International Airport, recorded a minimum near 12–13°C on August 30, consistent with typical late-August radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with climatological baselines of 12–13°C nighttime lows during the rainy season, when high humidity and afternoon convection give way to clear nocturnal conditions favoring heat loss. The 97% market-implied probability for 12°C reflects strong consensus from these verified measurements. A realistic challenge would require sustained low-level cloud cover or warm-air advection from stronger southerly flow, though current model guidance and station data show no such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
交易量
$1,262结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Mexico City stations, including Benito Juárez International Airport, recorded a minimum near 12–13°C on August 30, consistent with typical late-August radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with climatological baselines of 12–13°C nighttime lows during the rainy season, when high humidity and afternoon convection give way to clear nocturnal conditions favoring heat loss. The 97% market-implied probability for 12°C reflects strong consensus from these verified measurements. A realistic challenge would require sustained low-level cloud cover or warm-air advection from stronger southerly flow, though current model guidance and station data show no such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,262结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official observations from Mexico City stations, including Benito Juárez International Airport, recorded a minimum near 12–13°C on August 30, consistent with typical late-August radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This aligns with climatological baselines of 12–13°C nighttime lows during the rainy season, when high humidity and afternoon convection give way to clear nocturnal conditions favoring heat loss. The 97% market-implied probability for 12°C reflects strong consensus from these verified measurements. A realistic challenge would require sustained low-level cloud cover or warm-air advection from stronger southerly flow, though current model guidance and station data show no such deviation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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