Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and high-resolution models point to a Buenos Aires minimum near 11–12°C on August 30, supported by easterly winds, stable high pressure, and moderate cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling in late Southern Hemisphere winter. Trader consensus clusters around 12°C while lower outcomes like 7°C reflect historical August climatology and potential for clearer skies to enhance cooling, whereas 16°C+ probabilities capture upside from warmer advection. Key uncertainties center on evolving cloud fraction and boundary-layer winds, with final readings likely hinging on the last model runs before midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最低温度?
12°C 73%
16°C或更高 52%
8°C 32%
7°C 31%
6°C或以下
22%
7°C
31%
8°C
32%
9°C
21%
10°C
27%
11°C
5%
12°C
73%
13°C
9%
14°C
9%
15°C
7%
16°C或更高
52%
12°C 73%
16°C或更高 52%
8°C 32%
7°C 31%
6°C或以下
22%
7°C
31%
8°C
32%
9°C
21%
10°C
27%
11°C
5%
12°C
73%
13°C
9%
14°C
9%
15°C
7%
16°C或更高
52%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 28, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and high-resolution models point to a Buenos Aires minimum near 11–12°C on August 30, supported by easterly winds, stable high pressure, and moderate cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling in late Southern Hemisphere winter. Trader consensus clusters around 12°C while lower outcomes like 7°C reflect historical August climatology and potential for clearer skies to enhance cooling, whereas 16°C+ probabilities capture upside from warmer advection. Key uncertainties center on evolving cloud fraction and boundary-layer winds, with final readings likely hinging on the last model runs before midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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