**Persistent high-pressure ridging over North Texas is driving trader consensus toward a hottest temperature of 100-103°F in Dallas on August 30.** Official National Weather Service forecasts and point matrices from the Fort Worth office, issued August 28–29, consistently project sunny skies with highs near 101–102°F under a strong H5 ridge centered over Oklahoma and North Texas. This setup promotes strong daytime heating through clear conditions, light south winds, and subsidence that suppresses cloud cover and rainfall. The pattern has held steady in recent model runs, with only minor day-to-day adjustments and no major forecast shifts expected before resolution. Above-average temperatures (climatological normal high ~94°F) reflect the ridge’s dominance, which has already produced multiple 100°F+ days. Market-implied odds align closely with this consensus: the 56% on 100–101°F and 20.5% on 102–103°F reflect the narrow expected range around official guidance, while lower probabilities on extremes acknowledge minor uncertainty from exact peak timing or localized variations. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles remain key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日达拉斯的最高温度？
8月30日达拉斯的最高温度？
100-101°F 56%
102-103°F 20%
98-99°F 18%
104-105°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
4%
98-99°F
18%
100-101°F
56%
102-103°F
20%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
1%
110°F或更高
1%
100-101°F 56%
102-103°F 20%
98-99°F 18%
104-105°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
91°F or below
$5 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$15 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$187 交易量
1%
96-97°F
$272 交易量
4%
98-99°F
$367 交易量
18%
100-101°F
$619 交易量
56%
102-103°F
$289 交易量
20%
104-105°F
$5 交易量
5%
106-107°F
$45 交易量
1%
108-109°F
$78 交易量
1%
110°F或更高
$320 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high-pressure ridging over North Texas is driving trader consensus toward a hottest temperature of 100-103°F in Dallas on August 30.** Official National Weather Service forecasts and point matrices from the Fort Worth office, issued August 28–29, consistently project sunny skies with highs near 101–102°F under a strong H5 ridge centered over Oklahoma and North Texas. This setup promotes strong daytime heating through clear conditions, light south winds, and subsidence that suppresses cloud cover and rainfall.
The pattern has held steady in recent model runs, with only minor day-to-day adjustments and no major forecast shifts expected before resolution. Above-average temperatures (climatological normal high ~94°F) reflect the ridge’s dominance, which has already produced multiple 100°F+ days. Market-implied odds align closely with this consensus: the 56% on 100–101°F and 20.5% on 102–103°F reflect the narrow expected range around official guidance, while lower probabilities on extremes acknowledge minor uncertainty from exact peak timing or localized variations. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,202结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high-pressure ridging over North Texas is driving trader consensus toward a hottest temperature of 100-103°F in Dallas on August 30.** Official National Weather Service forecasts and point matrices from the Fort Worth office, issued August 28–29, consistently project sunny skies with highs near 101–102°F under a strong H5 ridge centered over Oklahoma and North Texas. This setup promotes strong daytime heating through clear conditions, light south winds, and subsidence that suppresses cloud cover and rainfall.
The pattern has held steady in recent model runs, with only minor day-to-day adjustments and no major forecast shifts expected before resolution. Above-average temperatures (climatological normal high ~94°F) reflect the ridge’s dominance, which has already produced multiple 100°F+ days. Market-implied odds align closely with this consensus: the 56% on 100–101°F and 20.5% on 102–103°F reflect the narrow expected range around official guidance, while lower probabilities on extremes acknowledge minor uncertainty from exact peak timing or localized variations. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,202结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET**Persistent high-pressure ridging over North Texas is driving trader consensus toward a hottest temperature of 100-103°F in Dallas on August 30.** Official National Weather Service forecasts and point matrices from the Fort Worth office, issued August 28–29, consistently project sunny skies with highs near 101–102°F under a strong H5 ridge centered over Oklahoma and North Texas. This setup promotes strong daytime heating through clear conditions, light south winds, and subsidence that suppresses cloud cover and rainfall. The pattern has held steady in recent model runs, with only minor day-to-day adjustments and no major forecast shifts expected before resolution. Above-average temperatures (climatological normal high ~94°F) reflect the ridge’s dominance, which has already produced multiple 100°F+ days. Market-implied odds align closely with this consensus: the 56% on 100–101°F and 20.5% on 102–103°F reflect the narrow expected range around official guidance, while lower probabilities on extremes acknowledge minor uncertainty from exact peak timing or localized variations. Updated NWS briefings and next model cycles remain key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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