Trader consensus clusters tightly around an 78-83°F minimum in Dallas on August 29, reflecting closely matched outputs from the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs that place the overnight low in this narrow band amid typical late-summer conditions. Key differentiating factors include uncertainty in predicted cloud cover, which modulates radiational cooling rates, and boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that influence mixing and dew-point depression overnight. Historical August climatology for the area shows average lows near 75°F, but current steering patterns and urban heat-island effects add variability that keeps adjacent bins competitive. New model guidance and National Weather Service forecast discussions expected this evening represent the next catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before the market resolves.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日达拉斯最低气温？
8月29日达拉斯最低气温？
80-81°F 30%
78-79°F 28%
82-83°F 26%
86-87°F 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
71°F或更低
2%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
14%
88-89°F
2%
90°F或更高
1%
80-81°F 30%
78-79°F 28%
82-83°F 26%
86-87°F 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
71°F或更低
$76 交易量
2%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
9%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
10%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
10%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
28%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
30%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
26%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
9%
86-87°F
$5 交易量
14%
88-89°F
$5 交易量
2%
90°F或更高
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around an 78-83°F minimum in Dallas on August 29, reflecting closely matched outputs from the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs that place the overnight low in this narrow band amid typical late-summer conditions. Key differentiating factors include uncertainty in predicted cloud cover, which modulates radiational cooling rates, and boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that influence mixing and dew-point depression overnight. Historical August climatology for the area shows average lows near 75°F, but current steering patterns and urban heat-island effects add variability that keeps adjacent bins competitive. New model guidance and National Weather Service forecast discussions expected this evening represent the next catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$91结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around an 78-83°F minimum in Dallas on August 29, reflecting closely matched outputs from the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs that place the overnight low in this narrow band amid typical late-summer conditions. Key differentiating factors include uncertainty in predicted cloud cover, which modulates radiational cooling rates, and boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that influence mixing and dew-point depression overnight. Historical August climatology for the area shows average lows near 75°F, but current steering patterns and urban heat-island effects add variability that keeps adjacent bins competitive. New model guidance and National Weather Service forecast discussions expected this evening represent the next catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$91结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETTrader consensus clusters tightly around an 78-83°F minimum in Dallas on August 29, reflecting closely matched outputs from the latest GFS and ECMWF model runs that place the overnight low in this narrow band amid typical late-summer conditions. Key differentiating factors include uncertainty in predicted cloud cover, which modulates radiational cooling rates, and boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that influence mixing and dew-point depression overnight. Historical August climatology for the area shows average lows near 75°F, but current steering patterns and urban heat-island effects add variability that keeps adjacent bins competitive. New model guidance and National Weather Service forecast discussions expected this evening represent the next catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before the market resolves.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题