**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 29, 2026, call for sunny skies and a high near 102°F, establishing the core driver of market-implied odds favoring the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins.** This aligns with persistent late-summer high-pressure ridging, clear conditions maximizing solar insolation, light southerly winds advecting warm air, and negligible moisture or cloud cover to moderate daytime heating. The heat index is projected to reach 105–107°F, but the actual maximum temperature resolution hinges on the official NWS reading. Recent model consensus and the prior day’s observed high of 102°F reinforce expectations around this range, while historical August 29 averages near 94°F and records up to 106°F provide context without shifting the immediate outlook. No significant forecast updates or atmospheric shifts have emerged in the latest data releases to alter probabilities materially before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日达拉斯的最高温度?
100-101°F 57%
102-103°F 23%
98-99°F 13%
104-105°F 5%
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
13%
100-101°F
57%
102-103°F
23%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 57%
102-103°F 23%
98-99°F 13%
104-105°F 5%
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
13%
100-101°F
57%
102-103°F
23%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas on August 29, 2026, call for sunny skies and a high near 102°F, establishing the core driver of market-implied odds favoring the 100–101°F and 102–103°F bins.** This aligns with persistent late-summer high-pressure ridging, clear conditions maximizing solar insolation, light southerly winds advecting warm air, and negligible moisture or cloud cover to moderate daytime heating. The heat index is projected to reach 105–107°F, but the actual maximum temperature resolution hinges on the official NWS reading. Recent model consensus and the prior day’s observed high of 102°F reinforce expectations around this range, while historical August 29 averages near 94°F and records up to 106°F provide context without shifting the immediate outlook. No significant forecast updates or atmospheric shifts have emerged in the latest data releases to alter probabilities materially before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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