**Persistent cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and high humidity are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited across Shenzhen, anchoring trader consensus around a 25–26°C minimum on August 30.** Subtropical monsoon conditions with dew points near 25–26°C, light variable winds, and 80–95% relative humidity reduce the diurnal temperature range, while model runs consistently show the lowest readings occurring under overcast skies rather than clear radiational cooling. Recent heavy rain has maintained a warm, moist boundary layer, limiting any dip below 25°C or push above 27°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 25°C and 26°C reflects this narrow forecast envelope, with lower-probability tails for 24°C or below requiring clearer skies or stronger northerly flow that current guidance does not support. Official station observations tomorrow morning will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日深圳最低气温？
8月30日深圳最低气温？
25°C 92%
24°C 74%
26°C 48%
23°C or below 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
23°C or below
12%
24°C
74%
25°C
92%
26°C
48%
27°C
39%
28°C
42%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
25°C 92%
24°C 74%
26°C 48%
23°C or below 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
23°C or below
$16 交易量
12%
24°C
$10 交易量
74%
25°C
$10 交易量
92%
26°C
$11 交易量
48%
27°C
$69 交易量
39%
28°C
$100 交易量
42%
29°C
$50 交易量
<1%
30°C
$30 交易量
<1%
31°C
$30 交易量
<1%
32°C
$320 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$30 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and high humidity are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited across Shenzhen, anchoring trader consensus around a 25–26°C minimum on August 30.**
Subtropical monsoon conditions with dew points near 25–26°C, light variable winds, and 80–95% relative humidity reduce the diurnal temperature range, while model runs consistently show the lowest readings occurring under overcast skies rather than clear radiational cooling. Recent heavy rain has maintained a warm, moist boundary layer, limiting any dip below 25°C or push above 27°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 25°C and 26°C reflects this narrow forecast envelope, with lower-probability tails for 24°C or below requiring clearer skies or stronger northerly flow that current guidance does not support. Official station observations tomorrow morning will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$676结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and high humidity are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited across Shenzhen, anchoring trader consensus around a 25–26°C minimum on August 30.**
Subtropical monsoon conditions with dew points near 25–26°C, light variable winds, and 80–95% relative humidity reduce the diurnal temperature range, while model runs consistently show the lowest readings occurring under overcast skies rather than clear radiational cooling. Recent heavy rain has maintained a warm, moist boundary layer, limiting any dip below 25°C or push above 27°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 25°C and 26°C reflects this narrow forecast envelope, with lower-probability tails for 24°C or below requiring clearer skies or stronger northerly flow that current guidance does not support. Official station observations tomorrow morning will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$676结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Persistent cloud cover, widespread thunderstorms, and high humidity are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited across Shenzhen, anchoring trader consensus around a 25–26°C minimum on August 30.** Subtropical monsoon conditions with dew points near 25–26°C, light variable winds, and 80–95% relative humidity reduce the diurnal temperature range, while model runs consistently show the lowest readings occurring under overcast skies rather than clear radiational cooling. Recent heavy rain has maintained a warm, moist boundary layer, limiting any dip below 25°C or push above 27°C. The tight clustering of market-implied odds between 25°C and 26°C reflects this narrow forecast envelope, with lower-probability tails for 24°C or below requiring clearer skies or stronger northerly flow that current guidance does not support. Official station observations tomorrow morning will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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