Market-implied odds reflect high uncertainty in the maximum temperature forecast for Mexico City on August 23, with traders assigning roughly equal weight to outcomes between 20°C and 23°C. At 2,240 meters elevation in a highland basin, daily highs during the August rainy season typically range 20–24°C and hinge on afternoon convective activity: earlier or more widespread thunderstorms increase cloud cover and evaporative cooling, capping temperatures near the lower end, while delayed or scattered precipitation allows greater solar heating and higher peaks. Recent model runs show modest spread in timing and coverage of moisture from the Pacific and Gulf, with no dominant large-scale pattern like a strong monsoon surge shifting the outlook. Official guidance from meteorological agencies will refine these variables ahead of the daily maximum observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日墨西哥城气温最高？
8月23日墨西哥城气温最高？
22°C 38%
23°C 28%
21°C 13%
20°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
18°C或以下
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
9%
21°C
13%
22°C
38%
23°C
28%
24°C
9%
25°C
5%
26°C
5%
27°C
7%
28°C或更高
3%
22°C 38%
23°C 28%
21°C 13%
20°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
18°C或以下
$33 交易量
1%
19°C
$20 交易量
3%
20°C
$7 交易量
9%
21°C
$0 交易量
13%
22°C
$0 交易量
38%
23°C
$4 交易量
28%
24°C
$33 交易量
9%
25°C
$0 交易量
5%
26°C
$21 交易量
5%
27°C
$49 交易量
7%
28°C或更高
$70 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds reflect high uncertainty in the maximum temperature forecast for Mexico City on August 23, with traders assigning roughly equal weight to outcomes between 20°C and 23°C. At 2,240 meters elevation in a highland basin, daily highs during the August rainy season typically range 20–24°C and hinge on afternoon convective activity: earlier or more widespread thunderstorms increase cloud cover and evaporative cooling, capping temperatures near the lower end, while delayed or scattered precipitation allows greater solar heating and higher peaks. Recent model runs show modest spread in timing and coverage of moisture from the Pacific and Gulf, with no dominant large-scale pattern like a strong monsoon surge shifting the outlook. Official guidance from meteorological agencies will refine these variables ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
交易量
$236结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds reflect high uncertainty in the maximum temperature forecast for Mexico City on August 23, with traders assigning roughly equal weight to outcomes between 20°C and 23°C. At 2,240 meters elevation in a highland basin, daily highs during the August rainy season typically range 20–24°C and hinge on afternoon convective activity: earlier or more widespread thunderstorms increase cloud cover and evaporative cooling, capping temperatures near the lower end, while delayed or scattered precipitation allows greater solar heating and higher peaks. Recent model runs show modest spread in timing and coverage of moisture from the Pacific and Gulf, with no dominant large-scale pattern like a strong monsoon surge shifting the outlook. Official guidance from meteorological agencies will refine these variables ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$236结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETMarket-implied odds reflect high uncertainty in the maximum temperature forecast for Mexico City on August 23, with traders assigning roughly equal weight to outcomes between 20°C and 23°C. At 2,240 meters elevation in a highland basin, daily highs during the August rainy season typically range 20–24°C and hinge on afternoon convective activity: earlier or more widespread thunderstorms increase cloud cover and evaporative cooling, capping temperatures near the lower end, while delayed or scattered precipitation allows greater solar heating and higher peaks. Recent model runs show modest spread in timing and coverage of moisture from the Pacific and Gulf, with no dominant large-scale pattern like a strong monsoon surge shifting the outlook. Official guidance from meteorological agencies will refine these variables ahead of the daily maximum observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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