Recent forecasts from AccuWeather and other models indicate Beijing's overnight low on August 24 could dip near 23°C amid possible thunderstorms and increased cloud cover, supporting the close contest between the 19°C-or-below and 23°C outcomes at roughly 42% and 40.5% implied probability. Typical late-August climatology features minimums of 21–24°C, but variable steering patterns, humidity levels near 80%, and timing of any convective activity introduce uncertainty in the exact overnight minimum. Traders appear focused on the next NHC-style or local agency model updates, as even modest shifts in wind or precipitation could differentiate bins clustered around 20–24°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日北京最低气温？
8月24日北京最低气温？
19°C or below 84%
29°C或更高 48%
21°C 44%
23°C 41%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
19°C or below
84%
20°C
18%
21°C
44%
22°C
23%
23°C
41%
24°C
29%
25°C
28%
26°C
23%
27°C
23%
28°C
8%
29°C或更高
48%
19°C or below 84%
29°C或更高 48%
21°C 44%
23°C 41%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
19°C or below
$5 交易量
84%
20°C
$5 交易量
18%
21°C
$5 交易量
44%
22°C
$0 交易量
23%
23°C
$310 交易量
41%
24°C
$0 交易量
29%
25°C
$0 交易量
28%
26°C
$0 交易量
23%
27°C
$0 交易量
23%
28°C
$5 交易量
8%
29°C或更高
$5 交易量
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AccuWeather and other models indicate Beijing's overnight low on August 24 could dip near 23°C amid possible thunderstorms and increased cloud cover, supporting the close contest between the 19°C-or-below and 23°C outcomes at roughly 42% and 40.5% implied probability. Typical late-August climatology features minimums of 21–24°C, but variable steering patterns, humidity levels near 80%, and timing of any convective activity introduce uncertainty in the exact overnight minimum. Traders appear focused on the next NHC-style or local agency model updates, as even modest shifts in wind or precipitation could differentiate bins clustered around 20–24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$335结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AccuWeather and other models indicate Beijing's overnight low on August 24 could dip near 23°C amid possible thunderstorms and increased cloud cover, supporting the close contest between the 19°C-or-below and 23°C outcomes at roughly 42% and 40.5% implied probability. Typical late-August climatology features minimums of 21–24°C, but variable steering patterns, humidity levels near 80%, and timing of any convective activity introduce uncertainty in the exact overnight minimum. Traders appear focused on the next NHC-style or local agency model updates, as even modest shifts in wind or precipitation could differentiate bins clustered around 20–24°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$335结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecasts from AccuWeather and other models indicate Beijing's overnight low on August 24 could dip near 23°C amid possible thunderstorms and increased cloud cover, supporting the close contest between the 19°C-or-below and 23°C outcomes at roughly 42% and 40.5% implied probability. Typical late-August climatology features minimums of 21–24°C, but variable steering patterns, humidity levels near 80%, and timing of any convective activity introduce uncertainty in the exact overnight minimum. Traders appear focused on the next NHC-style or local agency model updates, as even modest shifts in wind or precipitation could differentiate bins clustered around 20–24°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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