Chongqing's subtropical monsoon climate and basin topography typically trap heat and humidity in early August, producing climatological highs near 34°C amid influence from the western Pacific subtropical high. Current model consensus and observational trends position 33–35°C as the most probable range for the August 6 maximum, with 34°C holding the strongest market-implied probability at 43%. Recent regional heat alerts and above-average temperatures through July have sustained elevated baselines, yet increasing chances of afternoon convection or cloud cover could moderate peaks. Lower probabilities for 36°C or higher reflect limited intensification signals in short-range guidance, while the slim odds below 33°C account for potential cooling from localized rainfall. Updated National Meteorological Center forecasts and real-time station data will provide the next key inputs before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日重庆气温最高？
8月6日重庆气温最高？
34°C 43%
33°C 25%
35°C 18%
32°C 8%
最新
$20,061 交易量
最新
$20,061 交易量
2026-08-06
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
8%
33°C
25%
34°C
43%
35°C
18%
36°C
6%
37°C或以上
3%
34°C 43%
33°C 25%
35°C 18%
32°C 8%
最新
$20,061 交易量
最新
$20,061 交易量
2026-08-06
27°C or below
$253 交易量
<1%
28°C
$287 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,868 交易量
1%
30°C
$984 交易量
1%
31°C
$777 交易量
3%
32°C
$1,128 交易量
8%
33°C
$7,062 交易量
25%
34°C
$3,111 交易量
43%
35°C
$2,162 交易量
18%
36°C
$952 交易量
6%
37°C或以上
$1,479 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Chongqing's subtropical monsoon climate and basin topography typically trap heat and humidity in early August, producing climatological highs near 34°C amid influence from the western Pacific subtropical high. Current model consensus and observational trends position 33–35°C as the most probable range for the August 6 maximum, with 34°C holding the strongest market-implied probability at 43%. Recent regional heat alerts and above-average temperatures through July have sustained elevated baselines, yet increasing chances of afternoon convection or cloud cover could moderate peaks. Lower probabilities for 36°C or higher reflect limited intensification signals in short-range guidance, while the slim odds below 33°C account for potential cooling from localized rainfall. Updated National Meteorological Center forecasts and real-time station data will provide the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$20,061结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Chongqing's subtropical monsoon climate and basin topography typically trap heat and humidity in early August, producing climatological highs near 34°C amid influence from the western Pacific subtropical high. Current model consensus and observational trends position 33–35°C as the most probable range for the August 6 maximum, with 34°C holding the strongest market-implied probability at 43%. Recent regional heat alerts and above-average temperatures through July have sustained elevated baselines, yet increasing chances of afternoon convection or cloud cover could moderate peaks. Lower probabilities for 36°C or higher reflect limited intensification signals in short-range guidance, while the slim odds below 33°C account for potential cooling from localized rainfall. Updated National Meteorological Center forecasts and real-time station data will provide the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,061结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETChongqing's subtropical monsoon climate and basin topography typically trap heat and humidity in early August, producing climatological highs near 34°C amid influence from the western Pacific subtropical high. Current model consensus and observational trends position 33–35°C as the most probable range for the August 6 maximum, with 34°C holding the strongest market-implied probability at 43%. Recent regional heat alerts and above-average temperatures through July have sustained elevated baselines, yet increasing chances of afternoon convection or cloud cover could moderate peaks. Lower probabilities for 36°C or higher reflect limited intensification signals in short-range guidance, while the slim odds below 33°C account for potential cooling from localized rainfall. Updated National Meteorological Center forecasts and real-time station data will provide the next key inputs before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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