Forecast models from agencies tracking central China's subtropical monsoon climate point to a peak temperature in Wuhan today near 35–37°C, with consensus around 36°C amid mostly sunny conditions, moderate humidity near 60–70%, and light winds that limit rapid cooling or intensification. Typical August baselines for the region feature daily highs of 35–39°C, and recent model runs show minimal deviation from this range, with any scattered afternoon showers or increased cloud cover potentially capping the maximum near 35°C while clearer skies could push it to 37°C. Trader positioning aligns closely with these official guidance thresholds, as the market reflects aggregated assessments of observational data and short-term forecast stability rather than extreme outliers. Updated meteorological briefings expected later today could refine probabilities if steering patterns or local convection shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日武汉气温最高?
36°C 44%
37°C 29%
35°C 21%
34°C 6%
$28,313 交易量
$28,313 交易量
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
6%
35°C
21%
36°C
44%
37°C
29%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C或更高
<1%
36°C 44%
37°C 29%
35°C 21%
34°C 6%
$28,313 交易量
$28,313 交易量
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
6%
35°C
21%
36°C
44%
37°C
29%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from agencies tracking central China's subtropical monsoon climate point to a peak temperature in Wuhan today near 35–37°C, with consensus around 36°C amid mostly sunny conditions, moderate humidity near 60–70%, and light winds that limit rapid cooling or intensification. Typical August baselines for the region feature daily highs of 35–39°C, and recent model runs show minimal deviation from this range, with any scattered afternoon showers or increased cloud cover potentially capping the maximum near 35°C while clearer skies could push it to 37°C. Trader positioning aligns closely with these official guidance thresholds, as the market reflects aggregated assessments of observational data and short-term forecast stability rather than extreme outliers. Updated meteorological briefings expected later today could refine probabilities if steering patterns or local convection shift.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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