Recent India Meteorological Department observations show Lucknow's maximum temperatures running slightly below normal at 32.9°C amid active southwest monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover and scattered thundershowers limiting daytime heating. Short-range forecasts from multiple sources converge on a peak near 33–34°C for August 8, reflecting typical August climatology of 31–33°C highs tempered by high humidity and rainfall that suppress extremes. Model consensus highlights steering patterns and localized rain timing as key variables that could shift the daily maximum by 1°C either way, explaining the tight market split between the two leading outcomes while keeping higher values at low implied probability. Updated IMD guidance and satellite monitoring of monsoon progression over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日勒克瑙气温最高?
34°C 38%
33°C 37%
35°C 16%
32°C 11%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
11%
33°C
37%
34°C
38%
35°C
16%
36°C or higher
3%
34°C 38%
33°C 37%
35°C 16%
32°C 11%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
11%
33°C
37%
34°C
38%
35°C
16%
36°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent India Meteorological Department observations show Lucknow's maximum temperatures running slightly below normal at 32.9°C amid active southwest monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover and scattered thundershowers limiting daytime heating. Short-range forecasts from multiple sources converge on a peak near 33–34°C for August 8, reflecting typical August climatology of 31–33°C highs tempered by high humidity and rainfall that suppress extremes. Model consensus highlights steering patterns and localized rain timing as key variables that could shift the daily maximum by 1°C either way, explaining the tight market split between the two leading outcomes while keeping higher values at low implied probability. Updated IMD guidance and satellite monitoring of monsoon progression over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题