**Cooling trend after peak warmth on August 7 drives the tight 24–25°C contest.** Recent model guidance and extended forecasts show Moscow’s maximum temperature on August 8 likely settling near 24–25°C (roughly 75–77°F), with overcast skies and light rain chances limiting daytime heating after warmer conditions earlier in the week. Longer-range outlooks from sources like AccuWeather and specialized sites place the daily high around 25°C with lows near 17°C, consistent with a shift toward more typical early-August patterns following the recent heat. Historical climatology for early August averages 22–24°C, so the current setup reflects modest above-average readings tempered by increased cloud cover and a likely frontal passage. The market’s near-even split between 24°C (44.5%) and 25°C (40.5%) captures uncertainty in the precise peak amid ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF runs, plus variability in local station measurements. Resolution hinges on official observations for the calendar day, with final model updates and real-time data expected to narrow the range before market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日莫斯科最高气温?
24°C 45%
25°C 41%
23°C 9%
26°C 6%
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
9%
24°C
45%
25°C
41%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或更高
<1%
24°C 45%
25°C 41%
23°C 9%
26°C 6%
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
9%
24°C
45%
25°C
41%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Cooling trend after peak warmth on August 7 drives the tight 24–25°C contest.** Recent model guidance and extended forecasts show Moscow’s maximum temperature on August 8 likely settling near 24–25°C (roughly 75–77°F), with overcast skies and light rain chances limiting daytime heating after warmer conditions earlier in the week. Longer-range outlooks from sources like AccuWeather and specialized sites place the daily high around 25°C with lows near 17°C, consistent with a shift toward more typical early-August patterns following the recent heat. Historical climatology for early August averages 22–24°C, so the current setup reflects modest above-average readings tempered by increased cloud cover and a likely frontal passage. The market’s near-even split between 24°C (44.5%) and 25°C (40.5%) captures uncertainty in the precise peak amid ensemble spread in GFS and ECMWF runs, plus variability in local station measurements. Resolution hinges on official observations for the calendar day, with final model updates and real-time data expected to narrow the range before market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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