Official observations from San Francisco International Airport and downtown stations recorded a minimum temperature of 58–59°F on August 22, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 65% implied probability for that bin. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore southwest winds maintained overnight cooling near seasonal norms of 56°F, while the absence of strong offshore flow or clear-sky radiational cooling prevented deeper drops. NOAA forecast discussions highlighted typical August upwelling and cloud cover suppressing extremes, with model consensus showing little deviation from climatology. Upcoming NWS climate summaries will confirm final resolution criteria based on the official daily minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日旧金山最低气温?
58-59°F 99.5%
54-55°F 1.0%
56-57°F 1.0%
49°F或更低 <1%
$2,248 交易量
$2,248 交易量
49°F或更低
否
50-51°F
否
52-53°F
否
54-55°F
否
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
是
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68°F或更高
否
58-59°F 99.5%
54-55°F 1.0%
56-57°F 1.0%
49°F或更低 <1%
$2,248 交易量
$2,248 交易量
49°F或更低
否
50-51°F
否
52-53°F
否
54-55°F
否
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
是
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68°F或更高
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official observations from San Francisco International Airport and downtown stations recorded a minimum temperature of 58–59°F on August 22, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 65% implied probability for that bin. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore southwest winds maintained overnight cooling near seasonal norms of 56°F, while the absence of strong offshore flow or clear-sky radiational cooling prevented deeper drops. NOAA forecast discussions highlighted typical August upwelling and cloud cover suppressing extremes, with model consensus showing little deviation from climatology. Upcoming NWS climate summaries will confirm final resolution criteria based on the official daily minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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