Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a southerly flow and building high pressure will deliver the warmest day of the period on September 6, with afternoon maxima most likely in the 24–27 °C range under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This setup favors the market’s leading outcomes of 26 °C and 25 °C by allowing daytime heating while limiting extreme warmth through residual moisture and possible isolated showers. Historical September averages near 21 °C and the absence of strong heat advection keep probabilities for 28 °C or higher low. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and Met Office guidance, which show modest day-to-day shifts in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could still nudge the peak by 1–2 °C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日伦敦气温最高？
9月6日伦敦气温最高？
26°C 42%
25°C 28%
27°C 19%
24°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
7%
25°C
28%
26°C
42%
27°C
19%
28°C
5%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
26°C 42%
25°C 28%
27°C 19%
24°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-06
22°C或以下
$218 交易量
1%
23°C
$0 交易量
3%
24°C
$53 交易量
7%
25°C
$255 交易量
28%
26°C
$167 交易量
42%
27°C
$9 交易量
19%
28°C
$25 交易量
5%
29°C
$0 交易量
5%
30°C
$0 交易量
1%
31°C
$0 交易量
<1%
32°C或更高
$5 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a southerly flow and building high pressure will deliver the warmest day of the period on September 6, with afternoon maxima most likely in the 24–27 °C range under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This setup favors the market’s leading outcomes of 26 °C and 25 °C by allowing daytime heating while limiting extreme warmth through residual moisture and possible isolated showers. Historical September averages near 21 °C and the absence of strong heat advection keep probabilities for 28 °C or higher low. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and Met Office guidance, which show modest day-to-day shifts in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could still nudge the peak by 1–2 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$733结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a southerly flow and building high pressure will deliver the warmest day of the period on September 6, with afternoon maxima most likely in the 24–27 °C range under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This setup favors the market’s leading outcomes of 26 °C and 25 °C by allowing daytime heating while limiting extreme warmth through residual moisture and possible isolated showers. Historical September averages near 21 °C and the absence of strong heat advection keep probabilities for 28 °C or higher low. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and Met Office guidance, which show modest day-to-day shifts in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could still nudge the peak by 1–2 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$733结束日期
2026-09-06市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Met Office and ensemble models indicate a southerly flow and building high pressure will deliver the warmest day of the period on September 6, with afternoon maxima most likely in the 24–27 °C range under partly cloudy skies and light winds. This setup favors the market’s leading outcomes of 26 °C and 25 °C by allowing daytime heating while limiting extreme warmth through residual moisture and possible isolated showers. Historical September averages near 21 °C and the absence of strong heat advection keep probabilities for 28 °C or higher low. Traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and Met Office guidance, which show modest day-to-day shifts in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could still nudge the peak by 1–2 °C before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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