Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to overnight lows in the mid-70s for Austin on September 6, reflecting a stable warm air mass under light southerly flow and minimal nocturnal cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 74-77°F bins, where implied probabilities cluster tightly amid typical late-summer humidity and cloud cover that limits radiative heat loss. Historical September averages near 71°F highlight the current anomaly, while slight afternoon thunderstorm chances introduce minor forecast spread without shifting the minimum substantially lower. Upcoming evening observations and final model runs will refine resolution as the 24-hour window closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月6日奥斯汀最低气温?
86°F或更高 68%
80-81华氏度 49%
74-75°F 36%
76-77°F 33%
67°F或以下
2%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
36%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
25%
80-81华氏度
49%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
16%
86°F或更高
68%
86°F或更高 68%
80-81华氏度 49%
74-75°F 36%
76-77°F 33%
67°F或以下
2%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
36%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
25%
80-81华氏度
49%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
16%
86°F或更高
68%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 4, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to overnight lows in the mid-70s for Austin on September 6, reflecting a stable warm air mass under light southerly flow and minimal nocturnal cooling. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 74-77°F bins, where implied probabilities cluster tightly amid typical late-summer humidity and cloud cover that limits radiative heat loss. Historical September averages near 71°F highlight the current anomaly, while slight afternoon thunderstorm chances introduce minor forecast spread without shifting the minimum substantially lower. Upcoming evening observations and final model runs will refine resolution as the 24-hour window closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题