Recent forecasts from agencies and models for Incheon on September 5 point to a high of 28–29°C under northeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies, with minimal precipitation risk. Stable high pressure and cooler maritime air advection from the northeast are limiting daytime heating compared with earlier September warmth, while moderate winds and modest humidity support efficient mixing. Ensemble and deterministic runs show tight clustering around these values, with small differences in cloud cover or peak insolation creating the narrow spread between 29°C and 30°C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the latest model consensus and historical analogs for early-September maxima in the region, where 28–29°C aligns closely with current guidance. Updated runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration or global models ahead of the date could refine the peak temperature.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日首尔(仁川)气温最高?
29°C 40%
30°C 32%
28°C 19%
31°C 12%
23°C及以下
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
11%
28°C
19%
29°C
31%
30°C
32%
31°C
12%
32°C
1%
33°C或以上
1%
29°C 40%
30°C 32%
28°C 19%
31°C 12%
23°C及以下
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
11%
28°C
19%
29°C
31%
30°C
32%
31°C
12%
32°C
1%
33°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from agencies and models for Incheon on September 5 point to a high of 28–29°C under northeasterly flow and partly cloudy skies, with minimal precipitation risk. Stable high pressure and cooler maritime air advection from the northeast are limiting daytime heating compared with earlier September warmth, while moderate winds and modest humidity support efficient mixing. Ensemble and deterministic runs show tight clustering around these values, with small differences in cloud cover or peak insolation creating the narrow spread between 29°C and 30°C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the latest model consensus and historical analogs for early-September maxima in the region, where 28–29°C aligns closely with current guidance. Updated runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration or global models ahead of the date could refine the peak temperature.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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