Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high near 29–30°C for Incheon on September 4, driven by clear skies under high pressure, northeasterly flow advecting moderately warm air, and minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime insolation. Current conditions on September 3 show highs of 29–31°C with similar synoptic patterns persisting, while climatological baselines for early September in the region center around 26–28°C. Model consensus remains tight with low precipitation risk, though minor forecast revisions from updated runs could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 29–30°C outcomes, reflecting this stable late-summer setup ahead of final observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
9月4日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
30°C 43%
29°C 29%
31°C 12%
28°C 9%
最新
$10,578 交易量
最新
$10,578 交易量
2026-09-04
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
9%
29°C
29%
30°C
43%
31°C
12%
32°C
3%
33°C或更高
1%
30°C 43%
29°C 29%
31°C 12%
28°C 9%
最新
$10,578 交易量
最新
$10,578 交易量
2026-09-04
23°C或以下
$291 交易量
<1%
24°C
$271 交易量
<1%
25°C
$611 交易量
<1%
26°C
$460 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,439 交易量
5%
28°C
$931 交易量
9%
29°C
$999 交易量
29%
30°C
$1,871 交易量
43%
31°C
$1,778 交易量
12%
32°C
$768 交易量
3%
33°C或更高
$1,160 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high near 29–30°C for Incheon on September 4, driven by clear skies under high pressure, northeasterly flow advecting moderately warm air, and minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime insolation. Current conditions on September 3 show highs of 29–31°C with similar synoptic patterns persisting, while climatological baselines for early September in the region center around 26–28°C. Model consensus remains tight with low precipitation risk, though minor forecast revisions from updated runs could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 29–30°C outcomes, reflecting this stable late-summer setup ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$10,578结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high near 29–30°C for Incheon on September 4, driven by clear skies under high pressure, northeasterly flow advecting moderately warm air, and minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime insolation. Current conditions on September 3 show highs of 29–31°C with similar synoptic patterns persisting, while climatological baselines for early September in the region center around 26–28°C. Model consensus remains tight with low precipitation risk, though minor forecast revisions from updated runs could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 29–30°C outcomes, reflecting this stable late-summer setup ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,578结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a high near 29–30°C for Incheon on September 4, driven by clear skies under high pressure, northeasterly flow advecting moderately warm air, and minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime insolation. Current conditions on September 3 show highs of 29–31°C with similar synoptic patterns persisting, while climatological baselines for early September in the region center around 26–28°C. Model consensus remains tight with low precipitation risk, though minor forecast revisions from updated runs could shift the peak by 1°C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 29–30°C outcomes, reflecting this stable late-summer setup ahead of final observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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