**Forecast models and current conditions position 16°C as the most likely daily maximum for Wellington on September 3, 2026, with 17°C a close second.** Multiple sources, including MetService and international models, indicate a high near 15–16°C (roughly 59–61°F) under northwesterly flow, typical for early spring in New Zealand. These winds advect milder maritime air while strong gusts (often 25–40 km/h) limit surface heating through mixing. Recent observations on September 2 show afternoon temperatures around 14–15°C with partly cloudy skies and NW winds, setting a baseline consistent with the projected slight uptick. Ensemble guidance clusters the maximum in the 14–17°C range, reflecting normal spring variability around the climatological average of ~13–14°C. Lower probabilities for 18°C+ or 15°C and below stem from limited warm-air advection potential and the risk of increased cloud or showers, which would suppress peaks. Traders are weighting the most recent model runs showing stable northwesterlies through the day, with resolution hinging on the exact timing of any wind shift or cloud increase.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日惠灵顿的最高温度？
9月3日惠灵顿的最高温度？
16°C 52%
17°C 45%
18°C 5%
15°C 4%
最新
$20,444 交易量
最新
$20,444 交易量
2026-09-03
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
4%
16°C
52%
17°C
45%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 52%
17°C 45%
18°C 5%
15°C 4%
最新
$20,444 交易量
最新
$20,444 交易量
2026-09-03
10°C or below
$198 交易量
<1%
11°C
$275 交易量
<1%
12°C
$281 交易量
<1%
13°C
$322 交易量
<1%
14°C
$902 交易量
1%
15°C
$2,676 交易量
4%
16°C
$5,906 交易量
52%
17°C
$6,350 交易量
45%
18°C
$1,525 交易量
5%
19°C
$1,365 交易量
2%
20°C or higher
$645 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and current conditions position 16°C as the most likely daily maximum for Wellington on September 3, 2026, with 17°C a close second.** Multiple sources, including MetService and international models, indicate a high near 15–16°C (roughly 59–61°F) under northwesterly flow, typical for early spring in New Zealand. These winds advect milder maritime air while strong gusts (often 25–40 km/h) limit surface heating through mixing.
Recent observations on September 2 show afternoon temperatures around 14–15°C with partly cloudy skies and NW winds, setting a baseline consistent with the projected slight uptick. Ensemble guidance clusters the maximum in the 14–17°C range, reflecting normal spring variability around the climatological average of ~13–14°C. Lower probabilities for 18°C+ or 15°C and below stem from limited warm-air advection potential and the risk of increased cloud or showers, which would suppress peaks. Traders are weighting the most recent model runs showing stable northwesterlies through the day, with resolution hinging on the exact timing of any wind shift or cloud increase.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$20,444结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and current conditions position 16°C as the most likely daily maximum for Wellington on September 3, 2026, with 17°C a close second.** Multiple sources, including MetService and international models, indicate a high near 15–16°C (roughly 59–61°F) under northwesterly flow, typical for early spring in New Zealand. These winds advect milder maritime air while strong gusts (often 25–40 km/h) limit surface heating through mixing.
Recent observations on September 2 show afternoon temperatures around 14–15°C with partly cloudy skies and NW winds, setting a baseline consistent with the projected slight uptick. Ensemble guidance clusters the maximum in the 14–17°C range, reflecting normal spring variability around the climatological average of ~13–14°C. Lower probabilities for 18°C+ or 15°C and below stem from limited warm-air advection potential and the risk of increased cloud or showers, which would suppress peaks. Traders are weighting the most recent model runs showing stable northwesterlies through the day, with resolution hinging on the exact timing of any wind shift or cloud increase.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,444结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Forecast models and current conditions position 16°C as the most likely daily maximum for Wellington on September 3, 2026, with 17°C a close second.** Multiple sources, including MetService and international models, indicate a high near 15–16°C (roughly 59–61°F) under northwesterly flow, typical for early spring in New Zealand. These winds advect milder maritime air while strong gusts (often 25–40 km/h) limit surface heating through mixing. Recent observations on September 2 show afternoon temperatures around 14–15°C with partly cloudy skies and NW winds, setting a baseline consistent with the projected slight uptick. Ensemble guidance clusters the maximum in the 14–17°C range, reflecting normal spring variability around the climatological average of ~13–14°C. Lower probabilities for 18°C+ or 15°C and below stem from limited warm-air advection potential and the risk of increased cloud or showers, which would suppress peaks. Traders are weighting the most recent model runs showing stable northwesterlies through the day, with resolution hinging on the exact timing of any wind shift or cloud increase.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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