Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to a maximum temperature of 17–18°C in Wellington on September 4, driven by northwesterly flow ahead of a front that will deliver showers and gusty conditions. Official outlooks from MetService and international agencies converge on daytime highs near 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies, with limited model spread supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward these outcomes. Strong El Niño conditions currently enhancing westerly airflow have contributed to above-average spring temperatures across much of New Zealand, raising the baseline for the date relative to historical norms of roughly 13–14°C. Traders are monitoring any late model adjustments ahead of resolution, as even modest shifts in wind direction or cloud cover could alter the peak by 1–2°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日惠灵顿的最高温度？
9月4日惠灵顿的最高温度？
18°C 64%
17°C 29%
19°C 6%
16°C 3%
最新
$19,375 交易量
最新
$19,375 交易量
2026-09-04
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
3%
17°C
29%
18°C
64%
19°C
6%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C或更高
<1%
18°C 64%
17°C 29%
19°C 6%
16°C 3%
最新
$19,375 交易量
最新
$19,375 交易量
2026-09-04
12°C或以下
$399 交易量
<1%
13°C
$400 交易量
<1%
14°C
$652 交易量
<1%
15°C
$1,838 交易量
<1%
16°C
$2,759 交易量
3%
17°C
$2,572 交易量
29%
18°C
$6,877 交易量
64%
19°C
$2,299 交易量
6%
20°C
$1,156 交易量
<1%
21°C
$123 交易量
<1%
22°C或更高
$299 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to a maximum temperature of 17–18°C in Wellington on September 4, driven by northwesterly flow ahead of a front that will deliver showers and gusty conditions. Official outlooks from MetService and international agencies converge on daytime highs near 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies, with limited model spread supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward these outcomes. Strong El Niño conditions currently enhancing westerly airflow have contributed to above-average spring temperatures across much of New Zealand, raising the baseline for the date relative to historical norms of roughly 13–14°C. Traders are monitoring any late model adjustments ahead of resolution, as even modest shifts in wind direction or cloud cover could alter the peak by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$19,375结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to a maximum temperature of 17–18°C in Wellington on September 4, driven by northwesterly flow ahead of a front that will deliver showers and gusty conditions. Official outlooks from MetService and international agencies converge on daytime highs near 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies, with limited model spread supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward these outcomes. Strong El Niño conditions currently enhancing westerly airflow have contributed to above-average spring temperatures across much of New Zealand, raising the baseline for the date relative to historical norms of roughly 13–14°C. Traders are monitoring any late model adjustments ahead of resolution, as even modest shifts in wind direction or cloud cover could alter the peak by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$19,375结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from multiple models points to a maximum temperature of 17–18°C in Wellington on September 4, driven by northwesterly flow ahead of a front that will deliver showers and gusty conditions. Official outlooks from MetService and international agencies converge on daytime highs near 16–17°C under partly cloudy skies, with limited model spread supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward these outcomes. Strong El Niño conditions currently enhancing westerly airflow have contributed to above-average spring temperatures across much of New Zealand, raising the baseline for the date relative to historical norms of roughly 13–14°C. Traders are monitoring any late model adjustments ahead of resolution, as even modest shifts in wind direction or cloud cover could alter the peak by 1–2°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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