**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models indicate mostly sunny skies and a persistent warm, humid southwest flow will drive Chicago’s September 2 high into the low-to-mid 90s.** Official NWS guidance for O’Hare projects a high near 91°F with gusty southwest winds to 25 mph, while several commercial outlooks range from 93–94°F and note heat indices approaching 100°F amid dew points in the low 70s. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest volume on 92–93°F (42.5%) and 94–95°F (30.0%), reflecting trader consensus around the upper end of the forecast envelope. Minor model spread and the possibility of slightly stronger mixing or cloud cover keep a modest probability on 90–91°F, but the current pattern supports little chance of readings outside the 90–95°F window. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日芝加哥气温最高?
92-93°F 42%
94-95°F 30%
90-91°F 13%
96-97°F 8%
83°F或以下
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
13%
92-93°F
42%
94-95°F
30%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
1%
102华氏度或更高
<1%
92-93°F 42%
94-95°F 30%
90-91°F 13%
96-97°F 8%
83°F或以下
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
13%
92-93°F
42%
94-95°F
30%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
1%
102华氏度或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models indicate mostly sunny skies and a persistent warm, humid southwest flow will drive Chicago’s September 2 high into the low-to-mid 90s.** Official NWS guidance for O’Hare projects a high near 91°F with gusty southwest winds to 25 mph, while several commercial outlooks range from 93–94°F and note heat indices approaching 100°F amid dew points in the low 70s. These conditions align with the market’s heaviest volume on 92–93°F (42.5%) and 94–95°F (30.0%), reflecting trader consensus around the upper end of the forecast envelope. Minor model spread and the possibility of slightly stronger mixing or cloud cover keep a modest probability on 90–91°F, but the current pattern supports little chance of readings outside the 90–95°F window. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题