Northerly winds and transitional spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere are the main drivers lifting market-implied odds toward 23–24 °C highs for Buenos Aires on 2 September. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance points to a 21 °C maximum under mostly cloudy skies with northwest flow, while several international models and ensembles show potential for 1–3 °C warmer readings if cloud cover thins or winds strengthen during peak heating hours. Low precipitation risk and modest dew points limit evaporative cooling, but forecast spread in maximum temperature—arising from differences in boundary-layer mixing and shortwave radiation—keeps 21 °C, 23 °C, and 24 °C outcomes closely bunched in trader pricing. Updated model runs and SMN briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
9月2日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
24°C 35%
23°C 32%
21°C 20%
20°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
19%
21°C
20%
22°C
16%
23°C
32%
24°C
35%
25°C
9%
26°C or higher
8%
24°C 35%
23°C 32%
21°C 20%
20°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
16°C or below
$116 交易量
<1%
17°C
$251 交易量
<1%
18°C
$191 交易量
<1%
19°C
$14 交易量
4%
20°C
$16 交易量
19%
21°C
$107 交易量
20%
22°C
$72 交易量
16%
23°C
$55 交易量
32%
24°C
$16 交易量
35%
25°C
$41 交易量
9%
26°C or higher
$37 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northerly winds and transitional spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere are the main drivers lifting market-implied odds toward 23–24 °C highs for Buenos Aires on 2 September. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance points to a 21 °C maximum under mostly cloudy skies with northwest flow, while several international models and ensembles show potential for 1–3 °C warmer readings if cloud cover thins or winds strengthen during peak heating hours. Low precipitation risk and modest dew points limit evaporative cooling, but forecast spread in maximum temperature—arising from differences in boundary-layer mixing and shortwave radiation—keeps 21 °C, 23 °C, and 24 °C outcomes closely bunched in trader pricing. Updated model runs and SMN briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
交易量
$915结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northerly winds and transitional spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere are the main drivers lifting market-implied odds toward 23–24 °C highs for Buenos Aires on 2 September. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance points to a 21 °C maximum under mostly cloudy skies with northwest flow, while several international models and ensembles show potential for 1–3 °C warmer readings if cloud cover thins or winds strengthen during peak heating hours. Low precipitation risk and modest dew points limit evaporative cooling, but forecast spread in maximum temperature—arising from differences in boundary-layer mixing and shortwave radiation—keeps 21 °C, 23 °C, and 24 °C outcomes closely bunched in trader pricing. Updated model runs and SMN briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$915结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 8:55 AM ETNortherly winds and transitional spring conditions in the Southern Hemisphere are the main drivers lifting market-implied odds toward 23–24 °C highs for Buenos Aires on 2 September. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance points to a 21 °C maximum under mostly cloudy skies with northwest flow, while several international models and ensembles show potential for 1–3 °C warmer readings if cloud cover thins or winds strengthen during peak heating hours. Low precipitation risk and modest dew points limit evaporative cooling, but forecast spread in maximum temperature—arising from differences in boundary-layer mixing and shortwave radiation—keeps 21 °C, 23 °C, and 24 °C outcomes closely bunched in trader pricing. Updated model runs and SMN briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题