Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models show scattered showers and thunderstorms likely on September 1 amid a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea, sustaining cloud cover and limiting insolation. Northeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h will enhance mixing and advect slightly cooler maritime air, while high humidity (75–95%) and potential convective rainfall promote evaporative cooling that caps daytime maxima. Historical early-September averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet model spread in cloud timing and shower intensity creates genuine uncertainty between those thresholds. The closely matched market probabilities for 29°C and 30°C reflect this balance of radiative, advective, and precipitation influences, with only modest odds for 31°C if breaks in cloud cover allow greater heating.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日香港气温最高？
9月1日香港气温最高？
29°C 37%
30°C 35%
31°C 12%
28°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
11%
29°C
37%
30°C
35%
31°C
12%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 37%
30°C 35%
31°C 12%
28°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
25°C or below
$110 交易量
<1%
26°C
$120 交易量
<1%
27°C
$594 交易量
2%
28°C
$576 交易量
11%
29°C
$994 交易量
37%
30°C
$1,289 交易量
35%
31°C
$755 交易量
12%
32°C
$497 交易量
5%
33°C
$553 交易量
2%
34°C
$338 交易量
<1%
35°C or higher
$219 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models show scattered showers and thunderstorms likely on September 1 amid a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea, sustaining cloud cover and limiting insolation. Northeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h will enhance mixing and advect slightly cooler maritime air, while high humidity (75–95%) and potential convective rainfall promote evaporative cooling that caps daytime maxima. Historical early-September averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet model spread in cloud timing and shower intensity creates genuine uncertainty between those thresholds. The closely matched market probabilities for 29°C and 30°C reflect this balance of radiative, advective, and precipitation influences, with only modest odds for 31°C if breaks in cloud cover allow greater heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$6,045结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models show scattered showers and thunderstorms likely on September 1 amid a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea, sustaining cloud cover and limiting insolation. Northeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h will enhance mixing and advect slightly cooler maritime air, while high humidity (75–95%) and potential convective rainfall promote evaporative cooling that caps daytime maxima. Historical early-September averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet model spread in cloud timing and shower intensity creates genuine uncertainty between those thresholds. The closely matched market probabilities for 29°C and 30°C reflect this balance of radiative, advective, and precipitation influences, with only modest odds for 31°C if breaks in cloud cover allow greater heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$6,045结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and numerical models show scattered showers and thunderstorms likely on September 1 amid a broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea, sustaining cloud cover and limiting insolation. Northeasterly winds of 15–25 km/h will enhance mixing and advect slightly cooler maritime air, while high humidity (75–95%) and potential convective rainfall promote evaporative cooling that caps daytime maxima. Historical early-September averages near 29–30°C provide context, yet model spread in cloud timing and shower intensity creates genuine uncertainty between those thresholds. The closely matched market probabilities for 29°C and 30°C reflect this balance of radiative, advective, and precipitation influences, with only modest odds for 31°C if breaks in cloud cover allow greater heating.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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