Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a highest temperature near 29–31 °C for Tokyo on August 31, driven by mostly cloudy skies, 25–30 % rain probability, and moderate easterly flow that limits full solar heating after a cooler, rain-soaked weekend. Diurnal warming under partial cloud cover, combined with urban heat-island effects and typical late-summer humidity near 70 %, favors a peak in this narrow range rather than higher values that would require clearer conditions. Short-range model consensus and the two-day lead time keep probabilities tightly clustered around 29–30 °C, with only modest shifts expected from the next official guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日东京气温最高？
8月31日东京气温最高？
29°C 31%
30°C 31%
31°C 15%
28°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
12%
29°C
31%
30°C
31%
31°C
15%
32°C
9%
33°C
4%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
1%
29°C 31%
30°C 31%
31°C 15%
28°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
25°C or below
$40 交易量
<1%
26°C
$115 交易量
2%
27°C
$100 交易量
5%
28°C
$96 交易量
12%
29°C
$181 交易量
31%
30°C
$174 交易量
31%
31°C
$50 交易量
15%
32°C
$44 交易量
9%
33°C
$25 交易量
4%
34°C
$0 交易量
4%
35°C or higher
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a highest temperature near 29–31 °C for Tokyo on August 31, driven by mostly cloudy skies, 25–30 % rain probability, and moderate easterly flow that limits full solar heating after a cooler, rain-soaked weekend. Diurnal warming under partial cloud cover, combined with urban heat-island effects and typical late-summer humidity near 70 %, favors a peak in this narrow range rather than higher values that would require clearer conditions. Short-range model consensus and the two-day lead time keep probabilities tightly clustered around 29–30 °C, with only modest shifts expected from the next official guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$825结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a highest temperature near 29–31 °C for Tokyo on August 31, driven by mostly cloudy skies, 25–30 % rain probability, and moderate easterly flow that limits full solar heating after a cooler, rain-soaked weekend. Diurnal warming under partial cloud cover, combined with urban heat-island effects and typical late-summer humidity near 70 %, favors a peak in this narrow range rather than higher values that would require clearer conditions. Short-range model consensus and the two-day lead time keep probabilities tightly clustered around 29–30 °C, with only modest shifts expected from the next official guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$825结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicate a highest temperature near 29–31 °C for Tokyo on August 31, driven by mostly cloudy skies, 25–30 % rain probability, and moderate easterly flow that limits full solar heating after a cooler, rain-soaked weekend. Diurnal warming under partial cloud cover, combined with urban heat-island effects and typical late-summer humidity near 70 %, favors a peak in this narrow range rather than higher values that would require clearer conditions. Short-range model consensus and the two-day lead time keep probabilities tightly clustered around 29–30 °C, with only modest shifts expected from the next official guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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