Current model consensus points to a highest temperature in Seattle on August 30 in the upper 60s to low 70s, cooler than the historical average high near 75°F. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific marine layer, combined with lingering cloud cover and residual moisture after Saturday showers and possible thunderstorms, is limiting daytime heating and solar insolation. Light winds and a stable boundary layer further suppress warming, while any afternoon clearing could allow brief rises toward 72°F. Traders appear to weigh these atmospheric factors heavily, with the 70-71°F bin leading as models converge on moderate conditions rather than a strong warming trend or persistent overcast. Updated NWS and ensemble guidance ahead of the date will refine resolution odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日西雅图的最高温度？
8月30日西雅图的最高温度？
70-71°F 36%
68-69°F 30%
66-67°F 22%
72-73°F 17%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
4%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
12%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
36%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
4%
78°F or higher
4%
70-71°F 36%
68-69°F 30%
66-67°F 22%
72-73°F 17%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
59°F or below
$21 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$5 交易量
3%
62-63°F
$29 交易量
4%
64-65°F
$29 交易量
9%
66-67°F
$34 交易量
12%
68-69°F
$107 交易量
25%
70-71°F
$77 交易量
36%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
17%
74-75°F
$5 交易量
9%
76-77°F
$5 交易量
4%
78°F or higher
$5 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus points to a highest temperature in Seattle on August 30 in the upper 60s to low 70s, cooler than the historical average high near 75°F. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific marine layer, combined with lingering cloud cover and residual moisture after Saturday showers and possible thunderstorms, is limiting daytime heating and solar insolation. Light winds and a stable boundary layer further suppress warming, while any afternoon clearing could allow brief rises toward 72°F. Traders appear to weigh these atmospheric factors heavily, with the 70-71°F bin leading as models converge on moderate conditions rather than a strong warming trend or persistent overcast. Updated NWS and ensemble guidance ahead of the date will refine resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 10:55 AM ET
交易量
$317结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 10:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus points to a highest temperature in Seattle on August 30 in the upper 60s to low 70s, cooler than the historical average high near 75°F. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific marine layer, combined with lingering cloud cover and residual moisture after Saturday showers and possible thunderstorms, is limiting daytime heating and solar insolation. Light winds and a stable boundary layer further suppress warming, while any afternoon clearing could allow brief rises toward 72°F. Traders appear to weigh these atmospheric factors heavily, with the 70-71°F bin leading as models converge on moderate conditions rather than a strong warming trend or persistent overcast. Updated NWS and ensemble guidance ahead of the date will refine resolution odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$317结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 10:55 AM ETCurrent model consensus points to a highest temperature in Seattle on August 30 in the upper 60s to low 70s, cooler than the historical average high near 75°F. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific marine layer, combined with lingering cloud cover and residual moisture after Saturday showers and possible thunderstorms, is limiting daytime heating and solar insolation. Light winds and a stable boundary layer further suppress warming, while any afternoon clearing could allow brief rises toward 72°F. Traders appear to weigh these atmospheric factors heavily, with the 70-71°F bin leading as models converge on moderate conditions rather than a strong warming trend or persistent overcast. Updated NWS and ensemble guidance ahead of the date will refine resolution odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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