Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a high near 71–72°F for Seattle on August 28, 2026, driven by morning marine layer clouds giving way to mostly sunny skies, light southwest winds, and typical late-summer Pacific moderation that caps daytime warming below the 75°F seasonal average. This consensus supports the market's strong tilt toward the 72–73°F bin at 59% implied probability, with 70–71°F as a close secondary outcome. Recent model runs show minimal spread and no signals of stronger onshore flow or clearing that could push temperatures higher, though any unexpected afternoon sun could nudge readings into the mid-70s. The 68–69°F and cooler tiers remain low-probability under current guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日西雅图的最高温度?
72-73°F 60%
70-71°F 26%
74-75°F 13%
68-69°F 4%
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
60%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 60%
70-71°F 26%
74-75°F 13%
68-69°F 4%
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
26%
72-73°F
60%
74-75°F
13%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a high near 71–72°F for Seattle on August 28, 2026, driven by morning marine layer clouds giving way to mostly sunny skies, light southwest winds, and typical late-summer Pacific moderation that caps daytime warming below the 75°F seasonal average. This consensus supports the market's strong tilt toward the 72–73°F bin at 59% implied probability, with 70–71°F as a close secondary outcome. Recent model runs show minimal spread and no signals of stronger onshore flow or clearing that could push temperatures higher, though any unexpected afternoon sun could nudge readings into the mid-70s. The 68–69°F and cooler tiers remain low-probability under current guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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