Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies, including WeatherBug, Met Office, and Chinese meteorological sources, indicate a likely daily high of 31–33°C for Shanghai on August 31, 2026, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with southeast winds, moderate humidity, and partial cloud cover. Scattered rain or thunderstorms expected in some outlooks could reduce solar insolation and limit peak heating, favoring the market's leading 32°C outcome at 48% implied probability. Minor model spreads reflect uncertainty in exact timing of cloud breaks or localized heating, while Shanghai's urban heat island and East China Sea influences provide a climatological baseline near 31–32°C. Updated official observations and final forecast runs ahead of resolution will refine these trader-consensus odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日上海气温最高？
8月31日上海气温最高？
32°C 48%
31°C 29%
33°C 18%
30°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
7%
31°C
29%
32°C
48%
33°C
18%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 48%
31°C 29%
33°C 18%
30°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
26°C or below
$191 交易量
<1%
27°C
$73 交易量
<1%
28°C
$10 交易量
1%
29°C
$0 交易量
4%
30°C
$57 交易量
7%
31°C
$51 交易量
29%
32°C
$156 交易量
48%
33°C
$135 交易量
18%
34°C
$40 交易量
5%
35°C
$0 交易量
<1%
36°C or higher
$111 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies, including WeatherBug, Met Office, and Chinese meteorological sources, indicate a likely daily high of 31–33°C for Shanghai on August 31, 2026, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with southeast winds, moderate humidity, and partial cloud cover. Scattered rain or thunderstorms expected in some outlooks could reduce solar insolation and limit peak heating, favoring the market's leading 32°C outcome at 48% implied probability. Minor model spreads reflect uncertainty in exact timing of cloud breaks or localized heating, while Shanghai's urban heat island and East China Sea influences provide a climatological baseline near 31–32°C. Updated official observations and final forecast runs ahead of resolution will refine these trader-consensus odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$825结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies, including WeatherBug, Met Office, and Chinese meteorological sources, indicate a likely daily high of 31–33°C for Shanghai on August 31, 2026, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with southeast winds, moderate humidity, and partial cloud cover. Scattered rain or thunderstorms expected in some outlooks could reduce solar insolation and limit peak heating, favoring the market's leading 32°C outcome at 48% implied probability. Minor model spreads reflect uncertainty in exact timing of cloud breaks or localized heating, while Shanghai's urban heat island and East China Sea influences provide a climatological baseline near 31–32°C. Updated official observations and final forecast runs ahead of resolution will refine these trader-consensus odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$825结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models and agencies, including WeatherBug, Met Office, and Chinese meteorological sources, indicate a likely daily high of 31–33°C for Shanghai on August 31, 2026, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with southeast winds, moderate humidity, and partial cloud cover. Scattered rain or thunderstorms expected in some outlooks could reduce solar insolation and limit peak heating, favoring the market's leading 32°C outcome at 48% implied probability. Minor model spreads reflect uncertainty in exact timing of cloud breaks or localized heating, while Shanghai's urban heat island and East China Sea influences provide a climatological baseline near 31–32°C. Updated official observations and final forecast runs ahead of resolution will refine these trader-consensus odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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