**Recent Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) activity over western Luzon, combined with model consensus around 30–32°C highs, anchors trader sentiment for Manila’s September 2 maximum temperature.** Active southwesterly flow, high humidity (often 80%+), and frequent cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms limit daytime heating compared to drier periods, keeping most official guidance in the low-30s Celsius range. A developing moderate-to-strong El Niño may subtly suppress convection but has limited impact this early in the season versus the monsoon’s direct cooling effect. Minor differences among 31°C and 32°C outcomes (both near 24% implied probability) hinge on precise cloud timing, wind gusts, and localized shower intensity in the latest model runs, with PAGASA and global guidance showing only small spreads around the seasonal 31°C September average. Updated forecasts ahead of the date will likely refine these narrow probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日马尼拉的最高温度？
9月2日马尼拉的最高温度？
31°C 25%
32°C 24%
30°C 11%
33°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
9%
30°C
11%
31°C
25%
32°C
24%
33°C
11%
34°C
6%
35°C或更高
1%
31°C 25%
32°C 24%
30°C 11%
33°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
25°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
26°C
$0 交易量
<1%
27°C
$45 交易量
1%
28°C
$0 交易量
1%
29°C
$0 交易量
9%
30°C
$0 交易量
11%
31°C
$0 交易量
25%
32°C
$0 交易量
24%
33°C
$0 交易量
11%
34°C
$25 交易量
6%
35°C或更高
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) activity over western Luzon, combined with model consensus around 30–32°C highs, anchors trader sentiment for Manila’s September 2 maximum temperature.** Active southwesterly flow, high humidity (often 80%+), and frequent cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms limit daytime heating compared to drier periods, keeping most official guidance in the low-30s Celsius range. A developing moderate-to-strong El Niño may subtly suppress convection but has limited impact this early in the season versus the monsoon’s direct cooling effect. Minor differences among 31°C and 32°C outcomes (both near 24% implied probability) hinge on precise cloud timing, wind gusts, and localized shower intensity in the latest model runs, with PAGASA and global guidance showing only small spreads around the seasonal 31°C September average. Updated forecasts ahead of the date will likely refine these narrow probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$70结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) activity over western Luzon, combined with model consensus around 30–32°C highs, anchors trader sentiment for Manila’s September 2 maximum temperature.** Active southwesterly flow, high humidity (often 80%+), and frequent cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms limit daytime heating compared to drier periods, keeping most official guidance in the low-30s Celsius range. A developing moderate-to-strong El Niño may subtly suppress convection but has limited impact this early in the season versus the monsoon’s direct cooling effect. Minor differences among 31°C and 32°C outcomes (both near 24% implied probability) hinge on precise cloud timing, wind gusts, and localized shower intensity in the latest model runs, with PAGASA and global guidance showing only small spreads around the seasonal 31°C September average. Updated forecasts ahead of the date will likely refine these narrow probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$70结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Recent Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) activity over western Luzon, combined with model consensus around 30–32°C highs, anchors trader sentiment for Manila’s September 2 maximum temperature.** Active southwesterly flow, high humidity (often 80%+), and frequent cloud cover with scattered thunderstorms limit daytime heating compared to drier periods, keeping most official guidance in the low-30s Celsius range. A developing moderate-to-strong El Niño may subtly suppress convection but has limited impact this early in the season versus the monsoon’s direct cooling effect. Minor differences among 31°C and 32°C outcomes (both near 24% implied probability) hinge on precise cloud timing, wind gusts, and localized shower intensity in the latest model runs, with PAGASA and global guidance showing only small spreads around the seasonal 31°C September average. Updated forecasts ahead of the date will likely refine these narrow probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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