Current forecasts from multiple models place Chongqing's maximum temperature on September 2 near 33–35 °C under sunny to mostly clear conditions with light easterly winds and low precipitation chances, driving the tight 38 % market-implied odds on both 34 °C and 35 °C. Regional high-pressure influence and the city's topographic basin are limiting daytime mixing and sustaining warmth close to recent late-August peaks, while slight differences in timing of peak heating or boundary-layer moisture create the narrow spread versus 33 °C or 36 °C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 24–48 hours, along with any revised guidance from Chinese meteorological agencies, remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日重庆气温最高?
34°C 40%
35°C 38%
33°C 12%
36°C 9%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
12%
34°C
40%
35°C
38%
36°C
9%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
2%
34°C 40%
35°C 38%
33°C 12%
36°C 9%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
12%
34°C
40%
35°C
38%
36°C
9%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from multiple models place Chongqing's maximum temperature on September 2 near 33–35 °C under sunny to mostly clear conditions with light easterly winds and low precipitation chances, driving the tight 38 % market-implied odds on both 34 °C and 35 °C. Regional high-pressure influence and the city's topographic basin are limiting daytime mixing and sustaining warmth close to recent late-August peaks, while slight differences in timing of peak heating or boundary-layer moisture create the narrow spread versus 33 °C or 36 °C. Updated numerical weather prediction runs over the next 24–48 hours, along with any revised guidance from Chinese meteorological agencies, remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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