Recent rain and cooling across Chongqing on August 29, with many areas below 30°C under lingering moisture, has given way to clearing skies and recovery under subtropical high pressure. Short-range models from sources like WeatherBug and local meteorological offices now converge on mostly sunny to multi-cloud conditions for September 1, with forecast highs clustering between 33–37°C depending on exact steering flow, dew-point suppression, and urban heat-island effects. This range aligns with the market’s tight distribution favoring 35°C and 36°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of modest model spread and the low likelihood of renewed convection or stronger winds that could cap or boost the daily maximum. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and next model runs will refine the precise peak within this narrow window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日重庆气温最高?
35°C 37%
36°C 28%
34°C 17%
38°C 10%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
8%
33°C
9%
34°C
17%
35°C
37%
36°C
28%
37°C
7%
38°C
10%
39°C or higher
3%
35°C 37%
36°C 28%
34°C 17%
38°C 10%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
8%
33°C
9%
34°C
17%
35°C
37%
36°C
28%
37°C
7%
38°C
10%
39°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent rain and cooling across Chongqing on August 29, with many areas below 30°C under lingering moisture, has given way to clearing skies and recovery under subtropical high pressure. Short-range models from sources like WeatherBug and local meteorological offices now converge on mostly sunny to multi-cloud conditions for September 1, with forecast highs clustering between 33–37°C depending on exact steering flow, dew-point suppression, and urban heat-island effects. This range aligns with the market’s tight distribution favoring 35°C and 36°C, reflecting traders’ assessment of modest model spread and the low likelihood of renewed convection or stronger winds that could cap or boost the daily maximum. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and next model runs will refine the precise peak within this narrow window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题