**A broad trough of low pressure driving unsettled conditions over the South China Sea and Guangdong coast is the main factor capping trader expectations for Hong Kong's maximum temperature on August 30.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate mainly cloudy skies with showers and thunderstorms, yielding a projected range of 27–31°C and limiting solar heating relative to the clearer, hotter conditions expected on August 29. Seasonal context shows late-August averages near 31°C, while an emerging El Niño and background warming trend support the slight edge for 31°C in market odds; however, model consensus on increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and convective activity introduces genuine uncertainty around the 29–32°C cluster. Updated HKO guidance and next model runs will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日香港气温最高？
8月30日香港气温最高？
31°C 36%
30°C 29%
29°C 19%
32°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
6%
29°C
19%
30°C
29%
31°C
36%
32°C
12%
33°C
4%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 36%
30°C 29%
29°C 19%
32°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
26°C or below
$125 交易量
<1%
27°C
$125 交易量
<1%
28°C
$239 交易量
6%
29°C
$0 交易量
19%
30°C
$109 交易量
29%
31°C
$0 交易量
36%
32°C
$83 交易量
12%
33°C
$25 交易量
4%
34°C
$100 交易量
3%
35°C
$38 交易量
<1%
36°C or higher
$121 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**A broad trough of low pressure driving unsettled conditions over the South China Sea and Guangdong coast is the main factor capping trader expectations for Hong Kong's maximum temperature on August 30.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate mainly cloudy skies with showers and thunderstorms, yielding a projected range of 27–31°C and limiting solar heating relative to the clearer, hotter conditions expected on August 29. Seasonal context shows late-August averages near 31°C, while an emerging El Niño and background warming trend support the slight edge for 31°C in market odds; however, model consensus on increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and convective activity introduces genuine uncertainty around the 29–32°C cluster. Updated HKO guidance and next model runs will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$964结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**A broad trough of low pressure driving unsettled conditions over the South China Sea and Guangdong coast is the main factor capping trader expectations for Hong Kong's maximum temperature on August 30.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate mainly cloudy skies with showers and thunderstorms, yielding a projected range of 27–31°C and limiting solar heating relative to the clearer, hotter conditions expected on August 29. Seasonal context shows late-August averages near 31°C, while an emerging El Niño and background warming trend support the slight edge for 31°C in market odds; however, model consensus on increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and convective activity introduces genuine uncertainty around the 29–32°C cluster. Updated HKO guidance and next model runs will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$964结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**A broad trough of low pressure driving unsettled conditions over the South China Sea and Guangdong coast is the main factor capping trader expectations for Hong Kong's maximum temperature on August 30.** Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts indicate mainly cloudy skies with showers and thunderstorms, yielding a projected range of 27–31°C and limiting solar heating relative to the clearer, hotter conditions expected on August 29. Seasonal context shows late-August averages near 31°C, while an emerging El Niño and background warming trend support the slight edge for 31°C in market odds; however, model consensus on increased cloud cover, higher humidity, and convective activity introduces genuine uncertainty around the 29–32°C cluster. Updated HKO guidance and next model runs will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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