The official NOAA minimum of 71°F at Los Angeles International Airport on August 30 drove the near-certain market consensus for the 70-71°F bin. National Weather Service climatological summaries and station observations recorded this low around 5 AM under a marine layer with light winds and dew points near 64°F, limiting overnight radiational cooling while preventing deeper drops into the upper 60s. Historical August averages near 65°F at LAX and model consensus showing weak onshore flow further aligned trader positioning with the verified reading. Revisions to the preliminary data before the next day's first observation or discrepancies between downtown and airport stations remain the only realistic paths to altering resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日洛杉矶最低温度?
70-71°F 100%
59°F或更低 <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$1,913 交易量
$1,913 交易量
59°F或更低
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
是
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78°F或更高
否
70-71°F 100%
59°F或更低 <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$1,913 交易量
$1,913 交易量
59°F或更低
否
60-61°F
否
62-63°F
否
64-65°F
否
66-67°F
否
68-69°F
否
70-71°F
是
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78°F或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The official NOAA minimum of 71°F at Los Angeles International Airport on August 30 drove the near-certain market consensus for the 70-71°F bin. National Weather Service climatological summaries and station observations recorded this low around 5 AM under a marine layer with light winds and dew points near 64°F, limiting overnight radiational cooling while preventing deeper drops into the upper 60s. Historical August averages near 65°F at LAX and model consensus showing weak onshore flow further aligned trader positioning with the verified reading. Revisions to the preliminary data before the next day's first observation or discrepancies between downtown and airport stations remain the only realistic paths to altering resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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