Recent short-range forecasts from models such as those referenced by WeatherBug, meteoblue, and 14cast indicate a highest temperature in Munich on September 24 likely between 16–18 °C, with afternoon highs near 17 °C amid increasing cloud cover, northwest winds of 10–15 km/h, and a 25–50% chance of light showers. These conditions align with climatological norms for late September, where average daily maxima are approximately 18 °C, but recent cooler air advection from the north has tempered potential warming. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds places the strongest probability on 17 °C, followed closely by 16 °C and 18 °C, as model runs show limited spread and no strong signals for extremes. Updated high-resolution guidance and official station observations from the German Weather Service over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月24日慕尼黑最高温度？
9月24日慕尼黑最高温度？
17°C 35%
16°C 28%
18°C 23%
20°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
12°C或以下
4%
13°C
4%
14°C
14%
15°C
16%
16°C
28%
17°C
35%
18°C
23%
19°C
12%
20°C
17%
21°C
9%
22°C或更高
1%
17°C 35%
16°C 28%
18°C 23%
20°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-24
12°C或以下
$0 交易量
4%
13°C
$0 交易量
4%
14°C
$0 交易量
14%
15°C
$0 交易量
16%
16°C
$0 交易量
28%
17°C
$352 交易量
35%
18°C
$0 交易量
23%
19°C
$0 交易量
12%
20°C
$0 交易量
17%
21°C
$0 交易量
9%
22°C或更高
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from models such as those referenced by WeatherBug, meteoblue, and 14cast indicate a highest temperature in Munich on September 24 likely between 16–18 °C, with afternoon highs near 17 °C amid increasing cloud cover, northwest winds of 10–15 km/h, and a 25–50% chance of light showers. These conditions align with climatological norms for late September, where average daily maxima are approximately 18 °C, but recent cooler air advection from the north has tempered potential warming. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds places the strongest probability on 17 °C, followed closely by 16 °C and 18 °C, as model runs show limited spread and no strong signals for extremes. Updated high-resolution guidance and official station observations from the German Weather Service over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$352结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from models such as those referenced by WeatherBug, meteoblue, and 14cast indicate a highest temperature in Munich on September 24 likely between 16–18 °C, with afternoon highs near 17 °C amid increasing cloud cover, northwest winds of 10–15 km/h, and a 25–50% chance of light showers. These conditions align with climatological norms for late September, where average daily maxima are approximately 18 °C, but recent cooler air advection from the north has tempered potential warming. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds places the strongest probability on 17 °C, followed closely by 16 °C and 18 °C, as model runs show limited spread and no strong signals for extremes. Updated high-resolution guidance and official station observations from the German Weather Service over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$352结束日期
2026-09-24市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent short-range forecasts from models such as those referenced by WeatherBug, meteoblue, and 14cast indicate a highest temperature in Munich on September 24 likely between 16–18 °C, with afternoon highs near 17 °C amid increasing cloud cover, northwest winds of 10–15 km/h, and a 25–50% chance of light showers. These conditions align with climatological norms for late September, where average daily maxima are approximately 18 °C, but recent cooler air advection from the north has tempered potential warming. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds places the strongest probability on 17 °C, followed closely by 16 °C and 18 °C, as model runs show limited spread and no strong signals for extremes. Updated high-resolution guidance and official station observations from the German Weather Service over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题