Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service position a 27°C daily high in Munich on August 30 as the base case, aligning with the market's 47% implied probability under stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over southern Germany. Light winds and dry air masses support efficient daytime heating near this level, while minor differences in model timing for any weak frontal approach create the tight clustering around 26–28°C outcomes that together exceed 90% probability. With resolution just two days away, traders are weighting the latest short-range runs most heavily, as climatological baselines for late August in the region average near 24–26°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日慕尼黑的最高温度？
8月30日慕尼黑的最高温度？
27°C 47%
26°C 22%
28°C 22%
24°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C
22%
27°C
47%
28°C
22%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 47%
26°C 22%
28°C 22%
24°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
21°C or below
$127 交易量
<1%
22°C
$0 交易量
<1%
23°C
$0 交易量
1%
24°C
$0 交易量
5%
25°C
$0 交易量
5%
26°C
$36 交易量
22%
27°C
$116 交易量
47%
28°C
$26 交易量
22%
29°C
$0 交易量
4%
30°C
$0 交易量
1%
31°C or higher
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service position a 27°C daily high in Munich on August 30 as the base case, aligning with the market's 47% implied probability under stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over southern Germany. Light winds and dry air masses support efficient daytime heating near this level, while minor differences in model timing for any weak frontal approach create the tight clustering around 26–28°C outcomes that together exceed 90% probability. With resolution just two days away, traders are weighting the latest short-range runs most heavily, as climatological baselines for late August in the region average near 24–26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$306结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service position a 27°C daily high in Munich on August 30 as the base case, aligning with the market's 47% implied probability under stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over southern Germany. Light winds and dry air masses support efficient daytime heating near this level, while minor differences in model timing for any weak frontal approach create the tight clustering around 26–28°C outcomes that together exceed 90% probability. With resolution just two days away, traders are weighting the latest short-range runs most heavily, as climatological baselines for late August in the region average near 24–26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$306结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service position a 27°C daily high in Munich on August 30 as the base case, aligning with the market's 47% implied probability under stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over southern Germany. Light winds and dry air masses support efficient daytime heating near this level, while minor differences in model timing for any weak frontal approach create the tight clustering around 26–28°C outcomes that together exceed 90% probability. With resolution just two days away, traders are weighting the latest short-range runs most heavily, as climatological baselines for late August in the region average near 24–26°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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