Forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and European ensembles point to a minimum temperature in Munich on August 30 around 15–16 °C, driven by weak southwesterly flow under a building ridge that limits cold-air advection while allowing moderate radiative cooling overnight. Partial cloud cover and dew points near 12–13 °C will moderate the drop from daytime highs near 25–26 °C, preventing deeper cooling that might occur under clear, calm conditions. The spread in market-implied probabilities across 12–16 °C reflects ensemble variability in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing, with historical August 30 lows averaging 12.6 °C but recent westerly patterns favoring milder outcomes. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any shifts in these key variables.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日慕尼黑最低气温？
8月30日慕尼黑最低气温？
12°C or below 82%
14°C 34%
15°C 28%
16°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
12°C or below
82%
13°C
17%
14°C
34%
15°C
28%
16°C
26%
17°C
9%
18°C
14%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
12°C or below 82%
14°C 34%
15°C 28%
16°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
12°C or below
$0 交易量
82%
13°C
$0 交易量
17%
14°C
$0 交易量
34%
15°C
$0 交易量
28%
16°C
$0 交易量
26%
17°C
$0 交易量
9%
18°C
$5 交易量
14%
19°C
$5 交易量
2%
20°C
$5 交易量
1%
21°C
$5 交易量
1%
22°C or higher
$5 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and European ensembles point to a minimum temperature in Munich on August 30 around 15–16 °C, driven by weak southwesterly flow under a building ridge that limits cold-air advection while allowing moderate radiative cooling overnight. Partial cloud cover and dew points near 12–13 °C will moderate the drop from daytime highs near 25–26 °C, preventing deeper cooling that might occur under clear, calm conditions. The spread in market-implied probabilities across 12–16 °C reflects ensemble variability in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing, with historical August 30 lows averaging 12.6 °C but recent westerly patterns favoring milder outcomes. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any shifts in these key variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$25结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and European ensembles point to a minimum temperature in Munich on August 30 around 15–16 °C, driven by weak southwesterly flow under a building ridge that limits cold-air advection while allowing moderate radiative cooling overnight. Partial cloud cover and dew points near 12–13 °C will moderate the drop from daytime highs near 25–26 °C, preventing deeper cooling that might occur under clear, calm conditions. The spread in market-implied probabilities across 12–16 °C reflects ensemble variability in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing, with historical August 30 lows averaging 12.6 °C but recent westerly patterns favoring milder outcomes. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any shifts in these key variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETForecast models from sources including the German Weather Service and European ensembles point to a minimum temperature in Munich on August 30 around 15–16 °C, driven by weak southwesterly flow under a building ridge that limits cold-air advection while allowing moderate radiative cooling overnight. Partial cloud cover and dew points near 12–13 °C will moderate the drop from daytime highs near 25–26 °C, preventing deeper cooling that might occur under clear, calm conditions. The spread in market-implied probabilities across 12–16 °C reflects ensemble variability in boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing, with historical August 30 lows averaging 12.6 °C but recent westerly patterns favoring milder outcomes. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will clarify any shifts in these key variables.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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