Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate the minimum temperature in Munich on August 29 will likely fall in the 13–15°C range, driven by a westward-moving frontal system bringing overnight rain, increased cloud cover, and reduced radiative cooling under lighter southwesterly winds. This follows warmer, partly cloudy conditions on August 27–28 with highs near 28–30°C. Historical data place the long-term average low for the date at 12.7°C, with recent years showing variability from 10–15°C depending on similar late-summer patterns. Traders appear focused on subtle differences in model timing of precipitation and wind shifts that could nudge the overnight minimum by 1–2°C, with fresh ensemble runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日慕尼黑最低气温?
13°C 31%
14°C 28%
15°C 26%
16°C 25%
10°C or below
6%
11°C
10%
12°C
22%
13°C
31%
14°C
28%
15°C
26%
16°C
25%
17°C
8%
18°C
2%
19°C
8%
20°C or higher
8%
13°C 31%
14°C 28%
15°C 26%
16°C 25%
10°C or below
6%
11°C
10%
12°C
22%
13°C
31%
14°C
28%
15°C
26%
16°C
25%
17°C
8%
18°C
2%
19°C
8%
20°C or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate the minimum temperature in Munich on August 29 will likely fall in the 13–15°C range, driven by a westward-moving frontal system bringing overnight rain, increased cloud cover, and reduced radiative cooling under lighter southwesterly winds. This follows warmer, partly cloudy conditions on August 27–28 with highs near 28–30°C. Historical data place the long-term average low for the date at 12.7°C, with recent years showing variability from 10–15°C depending on similar late-summer patterns. Traders appear focused on subtle differences in model timing of precipitation and wind shifts that could nudge the overnight minimum by 1–2°C, with fresh ensemble runs expected to refine probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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