Recent ensemble forecasts from European centers show notable spread in overnight minimum temperatures for Munich on August 27, driven by uncertainty in low-level cloud cover, wind patterns, and the exact track of an approaching trough. Model consensus places the most likely range between 12–16°C, aligning with the clustered market-implied odds near 25% for 15°C, 16°C, and 13°C. Late-August climatology in southern Germany typically features lows around 13°C under clear conditions, but variable moisture advection introduces realistic upside or downside shifts. Fresh model runs and surface observations from the German Weather Service will provide the next key updates before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日慕尼黑最低气温？
8月27日慕尼黑最低气温？
15°C 25%
16°C 25%
12°C 25%
13°C 25%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
10°C or below
15%
11°C
17%
12°C
25%
13°C
25%
14°C
22%
15°C
25%
16°C
25%
17°C
11%
18°C
16%
19°C
15%
20°C or higher
15%
15°C 25%
16°C 25%
12°C 25%
13°C 25%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
10°C or below
$5 交易量
15%
11°C
$198 交易量
17%
12°C
$0 交易量
25%
13°C
$0 交易量
25%
14°C
$0 交易量
22%
15°C
$0 交易量
25%
16°C
$0 交易量
25%
17°C
$0 交易量
11%
18°C
$5 交易量
16%
19°C
$5 交易量
15%
20°C or higher
$5 交易量
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European centers show notable spread in overnight minimum temperatures for Munich on August 27, driven by uncertainty in low-level cloud cover, wind patterns, and the exact track of an approaching trough. Model consensus places the most likely range between 12–16°C, aligning with the clustered market-implied odds near 25% for 15°C, 16°C, and 13°C. Late-August climatology in southern Germany typically features lows around 13°C under clear conditions, but variable moisture advection introduces realistic upside or downside shifts. Fresh model runs and surface observations from the German Weather Service will provide the next key updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$218结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European centers show notable spread in overnight minimum temperatures for Munich on August 27, driven by uncertainty in low-level cloud cover, wind patterns, and the exact track of an approaching trough. Model consensus places the most likely range between 12–16°C, aligning with the clustered market-implied odds near 25% for 15°C, 16°C, and 13°C. Late-August climatology in southern Germany typically features lows around 13°C under clear conditions, but variable moisture advection introduces realistic upside or downside shifts. Fresh model runs and surface observations from the German Weather Service will provide the next key updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$218结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from European centers show notable spread in overnight minimum temperatures for Munich on August 27, driven by uncertainty in low-level cloud cover, wind patterns, and the exact track of an approaching trough. Model consensus places the most likely range between 12–16°C, aligning with the clustered market-implied odds near 25% for 15°C, 16°C, and 13°C. Late-August climatology in southern Germany typically features lows around 13°C under clear conditions, but variable moisture advection introduces realistic upside or downside shifts. Fresh model runs and surface observations from the German Weather Service will provide the next key updates before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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