Official temperature observations from Houston-area stations confirmed a daily maximum of 94–95°F on August 28, aligning with National Weather Service data and producing the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that bin. Persistent high pressure, light winds, and clear skies limited afternoon heating while surface dew points near 75°F moderated extreme values, consistent with typical late-August climatology under neutral ENSO conditions. Model guidance and real-time mesonet readings converged on this range well before sunset, leaving little room for upward revision. The only realistic challenges would involve a post-event data quality audit or station relocation, both exceedingly rare once preliminary reports are validated.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月28日休斯顿的最高温度？
8月28日休斯顿的最高温度？
94-95华氏度 100.0%
81°F或以下 <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$29,830 交易量
$29,830 交易量
2026-08-28
81°F或以下
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92-93°F
否
94-95华氏度
是
96-97°F
否
98-99°F
否
100°F或更高
否
94-95华氏度 100.0%
81°F或以下 <1%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$29,830 交易量
$29,830 交易量
2026-08-28
81°F或以下
$266 交易量
否
82-83°F
$266 交易量
否
84-85°F
$164 交易量
否
86-87°F
$1,234 交易量
否
88-89°F
$2,621 交易量
否
90-91°F
$3,357 交易量
否
92-93°F
$5,316 交易量
否
94-95华氏度
$7,394 交易量
是
96-97°F
$5,807 交易量
否
98-99°F
$2,805 交易量
否
100°F或更高
$600 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from Houston-area stations confirmed a daily maximum of 94–95°F on August 28, aligning with National Weather Service data and producing the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that bin. Persistent high pressure, light winds, and clear skies limited afternoon heating while surface dew points near 75°F moderated extreme values, consistent with typical late-August climatology under neutral ENSO conditions. Model guidance and real-time mesonet readings converged on this range well before sunset, leaving little room for upward revision. The only realistic challenges would involve a post-event data quality audit or station relocation, both exceedingly rare once preliminary reports are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
交易量
$29,830结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from Houston-area stations confirmed a daily maximum of 94–95°F on August 28, aligning with National Weather Service data and producing the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that bin. Persistent high pressure, light winds, and clear skies limited afternoon heating while surface dew points near 75°F moderated extreme values, consistent with typical late-August climatology under neutral ENSO conditions. Model guidance and real-time mesonet readings converged on this range well before sunset, leaving little room for upward revision. The only realistic challenges would involve a post-event data quality audit or station relocation, both exceedingly rare once preliminary reports are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$29,830结束日期
2026-08-28市场开放时间
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official temperature observations from Houston-area stations confirmed a daily maximum of 94–95°F on August 28, aligning with National Weather Service data and producing the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that bin. Persistent high pressure, light winds, and clear skies limited afternoon heating while surface dew points near 75°F moderated extreme values, consistent with typical late-August climatology under neutral ENSO conditions. Model guidance and real-time mesonet readings converged on this range well before sunset, leaving little room for upward revision. The only realistic challenges would involve a post-event data quality audit or station relocation, both exceedingly rare once preliminary reports are validated.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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