**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models show Houston on August 29 under sunny, high-pressure conditions with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover or rain chances, supporting a daytime high in the mid-90s.** This setup favors strong solar heating amid persistent humidity, with heat indices near 103–105°F, but the exact peak depends on subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, timing of maximum insolation, and any weak onshore flow from the Gulf. Official NWS guidance points to 94°F while some private models and recent runs trend 96–97°F, creating the tight split between the 94–95°F (46.5%) and 96–97°F (47.5%) buckets. Recent cooling from the prior heat wave, combined with stable synoptic patterns and no incoming fronts through the weekend, keeps probabilities balanced near 47% each; traders are pricing the narrow uncertainty range typical when model consensus clusters around these thresholds. New model runs or afternoon observations on the 28th could shift the implied odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日休斯顿的最高温度？
8月29日休斯顿的最高温度？
96-97°F 47%
94-95°F 46%
92-93°F 27%
98-99°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
83°F或以下
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
27%
94-95°F
46%
96-97°F
47%
98-99°F
13%
100-101°F
3%
102°F或更高
2%
96-97°F 47%
94-95°F 46%
92-93°F 27%
98-99°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-29
83°F或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
3%
90-91°F
$0 交易量
7%
92-93°F
$0 交易量
27%
94-95°F
$39 交易量
46%
96-97°F
$192 交易量
47%
98-99°F
$0 交易量
13%
100-101°F
$105 交易量
3%
102°F或更高
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models show Houston on August 29 under sunny, high-pressure conditions with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover or rain chances, supporting a daytime high in the mid-90s.**
This setup favors strong solar heating amid persistent humidity, with heat indices near 103–105°F, but the exact peak depends on subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, timing of maximum insolation, and any weak onshore flow from the Gulf. Official NWS guidance points to 94°F while some private models and recent runs trend 96–97°F, creating the tight split between the 94–95°F (46.5%) and 96–97°F (47.5%) buckets.
Recent cooling from the prior heat wave, combined with stable synoptic patterns and no incoming fronts through the weekend, keeps probabilities balanced near 47% each; traders are pricing the narrow uncertainty range typical when model consensus clusters around these thresholds. New model runs or afternoon observations on the 28th could shift the implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
交易量
$337结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models show Houston on August 29 under sunny, high-pressure conditions with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover or rain chances, supporting a daytime high in the mid-90s.**
This setup favors strong solar heating amid persistent humidity, with heat indices near 103–105°F, but the exact peak depends on subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, timing of maximum insolation, and any weak onshore flow from the Gulf. Official NWS guidance points to 94°F while some private models and recent runs trend 96–97°F, creating the tight split between the 94–95°F (46.5%) and 96–97°F (47.5%) buckets.
Recent cooling from the prior heat wave, combined with stable synoptic patterns and no incoming fronts through the weekend, keeps probabilities balanced near 47% each; traders are pricing the narrow uncertainty range typical when model consensus clusters around these thresholds. New model runs or afternoon observations on the 28th could shift the implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$337结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 8:57 PM ET**Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models show Houston on August 29 under sunny, high-pressure conditions with light easterly winds and minimal cloud cover or rain chances, supporting a daytime high in the mid-90s.** This setup favors strong solar heating amid persistent humidity, with heat indices near 103–105°F, but the exact peak depends on subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, timing of maximum insolation, and any weak onshore flow from the Gulf. Official NWS guidance points to 94°F while some private models and recent runs trend 96–97°F, creating the tight split between the 94–95°F (46.5%) and 96–97°F (47.5%) buckets. Recent cooling from the prior heat wave, combined with stable synoptic patterns and no incoming fronts through the weekend, keeps probabilities balanced near 47% each; traders are pricing the narrow uncertainty range typical when model consensus clusters around these thresholds. New model runs or afternoon observations on the 28th could shift the implied odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题