Current forecasts from Philippine meteorological agencies indicate Manila's daily minimum temperature on September 2 will likely settle between 26–28 °C, reflecting the market's balanced implied probabilities across those thresholds. In the region's southwest monsoon season, persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping lows close to the climatological average near 25–27 °C. Urban heat-island effects from dense infrastructure further moderate drops, while steering winds and any incoming tropical moisture can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs later today will refine the precise value before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日马尼拉最低温度？
9月2日马尼拉最低温度？
28°C 99%
27°C 20%
21°C或以下 19%
25°C 18%
$258 交易量
$258 交易量
2026-09-02
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或更高
否
28°C 99%
27°C 20%
21°C或以下 19%
25°C 18%
$258 交易量
$258 交易量
2026-09-02
21°C或以下
$12 交易量
否
22°C
$32 交易量
否
23°C
$33 交易量
否
24°C
$12 交易量
否
25°C
$12 交易量
否
26°C
$22 交易量
否
27°C
$17 交易量
否
28°C
$17 交易量
是
29°C
$21 交易量
否
30°C
$40 交易量
否
31°C或更高
$40 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Philippine meteorological agencies indicate Manila's daily minimum temperature on September 2 will likely settle between 26–28 °C, reflecting the market's balanced implied probabilities across those thresholds. In the region's southwest monsoon season, persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping lows close to the climatological average near 25–27 °C. Urban heat-island effects from dense infrastructure further moderate drops, while steering winds and any incoming tropical moisture can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs later today will refine the precise value before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$258结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Philippine meteorological agencies indicate Manila's daily minimum temperature on September 2 will likely settle between 26–28 °C, reflecting the market's balanced implied probabilities across those thresholds. In the region's southwest monsoon season, persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping lows close to the climatological average near 25–27 °C. Urban heat-island effects from dense infrastructure further moderate drops, while steering winds and any incoming tropical moisture can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs later today will refine the precise value before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$258结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Current forecasts from Philippine meteorological agencies indicate Manila's daily minimum temperature on September 2 will likely settle between 26–28 °C, reflecting the market's balanced implied probabilities across those thresholds. In the region's southwest monsoon season, persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping lows close to the climatological average near 25–27 °C. Urban heat-island effects from dense infrastructure further moderate drops, while steering winds and any incoming tropical moisture can shift the exact minimum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs later today will refine the precise value before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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