Active southwest monsoon flows combined with multiple monitored disturbances, including Tropical Storm Pilandok, are sustaining widespread cloud cover and showers over Luzon through September 3, moderating radiative cooling and keeping overnight minimums near the seasonal 25–26 °C baseline. An intensifying El Niño is elevating sea-surface temperatures and suppressing some convection, yet the habagat still favors humid, overcast nights that limit both extreme lows below 22 °C and unusually warm minima above 28 °C. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day shifts in wind and precipitation timing, leaving the precise minimum sensitive to the exact arrival and intensity of any embedded thunderstorms or clearer breaks. Traders therefore assign nearly equal weight to the 21 °C-or-below and 31 °C-or-higher tails, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of the next PAGASA update.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日马尼拉最低温度？
9月3日马尼拉最低温度？
21°C或以下 69%
31°C或更高 69%
29°C 50%
23°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
21°C或以下
69%
22°C
6%
23°C
49%
24°C
27%
25°C
28%
26°C
30%
27°C
29%
28°C
26%
29°C
50%
30°C
15%
31°C或更高
69%
21°C或以下 69%
31°C或更高 69%
29°C 50%
23°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
21°C或以下
$5 交易量
69%
22°C
$5 交易量
6%
23°C
$5 交易量
49%
24°C
$0 交易量
27%
25°C
$0 交易量
28%
26°C
$0 交易量
30%
27°C
$0 交易量
29%
28°C
$0 交易量
26%
29°C
$5 交易量
50%
30°C
$5 交易量
15%
31°C或更高
$5 交易量
69%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon flows combined with multiple monitored disturbances, including Tropical Storm Pilandok, are sustaining widespread cloud cover and showers over Luzon through September 3, moderating radiative cooling and keeping overnight minimums near the seasonal 25–26 °C baseline. An intensifying El Niño is elevating sea-surface temperatures and suppressing some convection, yet the habagat still favors humid, overcast nights that limit both extreme lows below 22 °C and unusually warm minima above 28 °C. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day shifts in wind and precipitation timing, leaving the precise minimum sensitive to the exact arrival and intensity of any embedded thunderstorms or clearer breaks. Traders therefore assign nearly equal weight to the 21 °C-or-below and 31 °C-or-higher tails, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of the next PAGASA update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$30结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon flows combined with multiple monitored disturbances, including Tropical Storm Pilandok, are sustaining widespread cloud cover and showers over Luzon through September 3, moderating radiative cooling and keeping overnight minimums near the seasonal 25–26 °C baseline. An intensifying El Niño is elevating sea-surface temperatures and suppressing some convection, yet the habagat still favors humid, overcast nights that limit both extreme lows below 22 °C and unusually warm minima above 28 °C. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day shifts in wind and precipitation timing, leaving the precise minimum sensitive to the exact arrival and intensity of any embedded thunderstorms or clearer breaks. Traders therefore assign nearly equal weight to the 21 °C-or-below and 31 °C-or-higher tails, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of the next PAGASA update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$30结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ETActive southwest monsoon flows combined with multiple monitored disturbances, including Tropical Storm Pilandok, are sustaining widespread cloud cover and showers over Luzon through September 3, moderating radiative cooling and keeping overnight minimums near the seasonal 25–26 °C baseline. An intensifying El Niño is elevating sea-surface temperatures and suppressing some convection, yet the habagat still favors humid, overcast nights that limit both extreme lows below 22 °C and unusually warm minima above 28 °C. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day shifts in wind and precipitation timing, leaving the precise minimum sensitive to the exact arrival and intensity of any embedded thunderstorms or clearer breaks. Traders therefore assign nearly equal weight to the 21 °C-or-below and 31 °C-or-higher tails, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of the next PAGASA update.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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