Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles point to a typical late-summer pattern of morning low clouds and fog clearing to sunny skies, producing afternoon highs near 76–82 °F on September 3. Onshore southwest flow and the marine layer continue to moderate temperatures along the coast and at LAX, while slightly warmer readings are possible farther inland. These conditions align closely with the historical average high of 76.7 °F for the date and explain why market-implied probabilities concentrate on the 76–79 °F bins. No significant heat-wave signals or model shifts have emerged in the latest runs, keeping trader consensus anchored to this narrow range ahead of final observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日洛杉矶气温最高？
9月3日洛杉矶气温最高？
76-77°F 52%
78-79°F 29%
74-75华氏度 13%
80-81°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
65华氏度或以下
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75华氏度
13%
76-77°F
52%
78-79°F
29%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
2%
84°F或更高
2%
76-77°F 52%
78-79°F 29%
74-75华氏度 13%
80-81°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
65华氏度或以下
$80 交易量
1%
66-67°F
$197 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$13 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$28 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$33 交易量
3%
74-75华氏度
$438 交易量
13%
76-77°F
$493 交易量
52%
78-79°F
$714 交易量
29%
80-81°F
$16 交易量
5%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
2%
84°F或更高
$63 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles point to a typical late-summer pattern of morning low clouds and fog clearing to sunny skies, producing afternoon highs near 76–82 °F on September 3. Onshore southwest flow and the marine layer continue to moderate temperatures along the coast and at LAX, while slightly warmer readings are possible farther inland. These conditions align closely with the historical average high of 76.7 °F for the date and explain why market-implied probabilities concentrate on the 76–79 °F bins. No significant heat-wave signals or model shifts have emerged in the latest runs, keeping trader consensus anchored to this narrow range ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,935结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles point to a typical late-summer pattern of morning low clouds and fog clearing to sunny skies, producing afternoon highs near 76–82 °F on September 3. Onshore southwest flow and the marine layer continue to moderate temperatures along the coast and at LAX, while slightly warmer readings are possible farther inland. These conditions align closely with the historical average high of 76.7 °F for the date and explain why market-implied probabilities concentrate on the 76–79 °F bins. No significant heat-wave signals or model shifts have emerged in the latest runs, keeping trader consensus anchored to this narrow range ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,935结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 7:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts for Los Angeles point to a typical late-summer pattern of morning low clouds and fog clearing to sunny skies, producing afternoon highs near 76–82 °F on September 3. Onshore southwest flow and the marine layer continue to moderate temperatures along the coast and at LAX, while slightly warmer readings are possible farther inland. These conditions align closely with the historical average high of 76.7 °F for the date and explain why market-implied probabilities concentrate on the 76–79 °F bins. No significant heat-wave signals or model shifts have emerged in the latest runs, keeping trader consensus anchored to this narrow range ahead of final observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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