Recent forecasts from multiple models, including Yr.no and Met Office ensembles, indicate Moscow's September 4 high will likely reach 20–21°C under overcast skies, light southwesterly winds of 2–4 m/s, and minimal precipitation under 1 mm. This places the peak slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 18.7°C following a brief warm spell early in the month. Overcast conditions limit diurnal heating while stable pressure gradients reduce variability, keeping most runs clustered in the 19–22°C range. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from precise timing of any partial cloud breaks or advection shifts that could add or subtract 1°C from the afternoon maximum. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these narrow spreads.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日莫斯科最高气温？
9月4日莫斯科最高气温？
21°C 26%
20°C 26%
22°C 25%
19°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
16摄氏度或以下
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
7%
19°C
14%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
25%
23°C
8%
24°C
6%
25°C
3%
26°C或以上
4%
21°C 26%
20°C 26%
22°C 25%
19°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
16摄氏度或以下
$0 交易量
2%
17°C
$0 交易量
2%
18°C
$0 交易量
7%
19°C
$22 交易量
14%
20°C
$0 交易量
26%
21°C
$0 交易量
26%
22°C
$0 交易量
25%
23°C
$19 交易量
8%
24°C
$0 交易量
6%
25°C
$0 交易量
3%
26°C或以上
$0 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including Yr.no and Met Office ensembles, indicate Moscow's September 4 high will likely reach 20–21°C under overcast skies, light southwesterly winds of 2–4 m/s, and minimal precipitation under 1 mm. This places the peak slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 18.7°C following a brief warm spell early in the month. Overcast conditions limit diurnal heating while stable pressure gradients reduce variability, keeping most runs clustered in the 19–22°C range. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from precise timing of any partial cloud breaks or advection shifts that could add or subtract 1°C from the afternoon maximum. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these narrow spreads.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$41结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including Yr.no and Met Office ensembles, indicate Moscow's September 4 high will likely reach 20–21°C under overcast skies, light southwesterly winds of 2–4 m/s, and minimal precipitation under 1 mm. This places the peak slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 18.7°C following a brief warm spell early in the month. Overcast conditions limit diurnal heating while stable pressure gradients reduce variability, keeping most runs clustered in the 19–22°C range. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from precise timing of any partial cloud breaks or advection shifts that could add or subtract 1°C from the afternoon maximum. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these narrow spreads.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$41结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models, including Yr.no and Met Office ensembles, indicate Moscow's September 4 high will likely reach 20–21°C under overcast skies, light southwesterly winds of 2–4 m/s, and minimal precipitation under 1 mm. This places the peak slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 18.7°C following a brief warm spell early in the month. Overcast conditions limit diurnal heating while stable pressure gradients reduce variability, keeping most runs clustered in the 19–22°C range. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from precise timing of any partial cloud breaks or advection shifts that could add or subtract 1°C from the afternoon maximum. Updated model runs closer to the date will refine these narrow spreads.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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