Recent model consensus from sources including AccuWeather, Met Office, and regional forecasts indicates a highest temperature near 33–35 °C in Chongqing on September 4 under hazy or partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and minimal precipitation. Subtropical high pressure and typical early-September climatology support this range, with urban heat effects and humidity influencing afternoon peaks. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around 34 °C and 35 °C because small differences in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, while longer-range guidance shows limited day-to-day change through the period. Updated short-range runs expected before resolution will refine the exact threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日重庆气温最高？
9月4日重庆气温最高？
34°C 30%
35°C 27%
31°C 17%
36°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
29°C及以下
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
17%
32°C
9%
33°C
14%
34°C
30%
35°C
27%
36°C
17%
37°C
5%
38°C
3%
39°C或更高
3%
34°C 30%
35°C 27%
31°C 17%
36°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
29°C及以下
$57 交易量
2%
30°C
$0 交易量
4%
31°C
$0 交易量
17%
32°C
$2 交易量
9%
33°C
$8 交易量
14%
34°C
$0 交易量
30%
35°C
$0 交易量
27%
36°C
$19 交易量
17%
37°C
$0 交易量
5%
38°C
$0 交易量
3%
39°C或更高
$0 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including AccuWeather, Met Office, and regional forecasts indicates a highest temperature near 33–35 °C in Chongqing on September 4 under hazy or partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and minimal precipitation. Subtropical high pressure and typical early-September climatology support this range, with urban heat effects and humidity influencing afternoon peaks. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around 34 °C and 35 °C because small differences in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, while longer-range guidance shows limited day-to-day change through the period. Updated short-range runs expected before resolution will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$78结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including AccuWeather, Met Office, and regional forecasts indicates a highest temperature near 33–35 °C in Chongqing on September 4 under hazy or partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and minimal precipitation. Subtropical high pressure and typical early-September climatology support this range, with urban heat effects and humidity influencing afternoon peaks. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around 34 °C and 35 °C because small differences in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, while longer-range guidance shows limited day-to-day change through the period. Updated short-range runs expected before resolution will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$78结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent model consensus from sources including AccuWeather, Met Office, and regional forecasts indicates a highest temperature near 33–35 °C in Chongqing on September 4 under hazy or partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and minimal precipitation. Subtropical high pressure and typical early-September climatology support this range, with urban heat effects and humidity influencing afternoon peaks. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around 34 °C and 35 °C because small differences in boundary-layer mixing or cloud cover can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C, while longer-range guidance shows limited day-to-day change through the period. Updated short-range runs expected before resolution will refine the exact threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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