Current forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with NOAA and local agencies, converge on a maximum of 18–20°C for Cape Town on September 4, 2026, under clearing skies after possible showers on the 3rd. Strong southeasterly winds, building high pressure, and reduced cloud cover support daytime warming toward the seasonal norm of roughly 18–20°C for early September, with low humidity aiding radiative heating. Trader emphasis on 19°C (37% implied probability) reflects this consensus and limited upside potential from typical spring variability, while probabilities for 21–22°C capture possible model spread or brief warm advection. No extreme events or long-term anomalies are indicated in the latest runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日开普敦气温最高？
9月4日开普敦气温最高？
20°C 42%
19°C 37%
21°C 22%
22°C 21%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
14°C或以下
7%
15°C
4%
16°C
10%
17°C
10%
18°C
12%
19°C
37%
20°C
42%
21°C
22%
22°C
21%
23°C
8%
24°C或更高
16%
20°C 42%
19°C 37%
21°C 22%
22°C 21%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
14°C或以下
$10 交易量
7%
15°C
$0 交易量
4%
16°C
$190 交易量
10%
17°C
$0 交易量
10%
18°C
$0 交易量
12%
19°C
$11 交易量
37%
20°C
$0 交易量
42%
21°C
$0 交易量
22%
22°C
$0 交易量
21%
23°C
$0 交易量
8%
24°C或更高
$0 交易量
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with NOAA and local agencies, converge on a maximum of 18–20°C for Cape Town on September 4, 2026, under clearing skies after possible showers on the 3rd. Strong southeasterly winds, building high pressure, and reduced cloud cover support daytime warming toward the seasonal norm of roughly 18–20°C for early September, with low humidity aiding radiative heating. Trader emphasis on 19°C (37% implied probability) reflects this consensus and limited upside potential from typical spring variability, while probabilities for 21–22°C capture possible model spread or brief warm advection. No extreme events or long-term anomalies are indicated in the latest runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$211结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with NOAA and local agencies, converge on a maximum of 18–20°C for Cape Town on September 4, 2026, under clearing skies after possible showers on the 3rd. Strong southeasterly winds, building high pressure, and reduced cloud cover support daytime warming toward the seasonal norm of roughly 18–20°C for early September, with low humidity aiding radiative heating. Trader emphasis on 19°C (37% implied probability) reflects this consensus and limited upside potential from typical spring variability, while probabilities for 21–22°C capture possible model spread or brief warm advection. No extreme events or long-term anomalies are indicated in the latest runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$211结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETCurrent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with NOAA and local agencies, converge on a maximum of 18–20°C for Cape Town on September 4, 2026, under clearing skies after possible showers on the 3rd. Strong southeasterly winds, building high pressure, and reduced cloud cover support daytime warming toward the seasonal norm of roughly 18–20°C for early September, with low humidity aiding radiative heating. Trader emphasis on 19°C (37% implied probability) reflects this consensus and limited upside potential from typical spring variability, while probabilities for 21–22°C capture possible model spread or brief warm advection. No extreme events or long-term anomalies are indicated in the latest runs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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