Shanghai's early September subtropical climate features high baseline humidity and urban heat island effects that can push daily maxima 1–2°C above rural surroundings, with the precise peak hinging on afternoon cloud cover, wind direction from the East China Sea, and any convective development. Ensemble forecast spreads from global models show tight clustering around 29–30°C for September 2, reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and shortwave radiation under weak steering flow. Trader consensus at these two outcomes captures the narrow margin between partly cloudy conditions limiting insolation versus clearer skies allowing full diurnal heating, with official Shanghai station observations and any last-model runs expected to resolve the threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日上海气温最高？
9月2日上海气温最高？
29°C 38%
30°C 37%
28°C 16%
31°C 8%
最新
$43,308 交易量
最新
$43,308 交易量
2026-09-02
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
16%
29°C
38%
30°C
37%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 38%
30°C 37%
28°C 16%
31°C 8%
最新
$43,308 交易量
最新
$43,308 交易量
2026-09-02
25°C or below
$5,016 交易量
<1%
26°C
$3,635 交易量
<1%
27°C
$2,037 交易量
5%
28°C
$6,346 交易量
16%
29°C
$8,420 交易量
38%
30°C
$7,493 交易量
37%
31°C
$6,770 交易量
8%
32°C
$1,454 交易量
2%
33°C
$1,328 交易量
<1%
34°C
$378 交易量
<1%
35°C or higher
$432 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai's early September subtropical climate features high baseline humidity and urban heat island effects that can push daily maxima 1–2°C above rural surroundings, with the precise peak hinging on afternoon cloud cover, wind direction from the East China Sea, and any convective development. Ensemble forecast spreads from global models show tight clustering around 29–30°C for September 2, reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and shortwave radiation under weak steering flow. Trader consensus at these two outcomes captures the narrow margin between partly cloudy conditions limiting insolation versus clearer skies allowing full diurnal heating, with official Shanghai station observations and any last-model runs expected to resolve the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$43,308结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai's early September subtropical climate features high baseline humidity and urban heat island effects that can push daily maxima 1–2°C above rural surroundings, with the precise peak hinging on afternoon cloud cover, wind direction from the East China Sea, and any convective development. Ensemble forecast spreads from global models show tight clustering around 29–30°C for September 2, reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and shortwave radiation under weak steering flow. Trader consensus at these two outcomes captures the narrow margin between partly cloudy conditions limiting insolation versus clearer skies allowing full diurnal heating, with official Shanghai station observations and any last-model runs expected to resolve the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$43,308结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETShanghai's early September subtropical climate features high baseline humidity and urban heat island effects that can push daily maxima 1–2°C above rural surroundings, with the precise peak hinging on afternoon cloud cover, wind direction from the East China Sea, and any convective development. Ensemble forecast spreads from global models show tight clustering around 29–30°C for September 2, reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and shortwave radiation under weak steering flow. Trader consensus at these two outcomes captures the narrow margin between partly cloudy conditions limiting insolation versus clearer skies allowing full diurnal heating, with official Shanghai station observations and any last-model runs expected to resolve the threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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